坎丹戈 vs 卡納EC Statistics & Analysis

Oct 03, 2026 - 13:00
0 1.12
4 1.48
xG Accuracy: 37%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

追蹤市場與全場比賽結果

每行比較賽前模型傾向與全場比賽結果。

  • 市場 預測 結果 結果
  • 大小球2.5 小於2.5球 大於2.5球 (4 進球) ✖ 錯誤
  • 雙方進球 雙方進球 (BTTS) 是 否 ✖ 錯誤
  • 1X2 卡納EC 卡納EC ✔ 正確
  • 波膽洞察 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 0-4 ✖ 錯誤

验证报告

Immutable Snapshot

预测时间: Sep 27, 2026 · 02:02 UTC 快照 ID: dp-11234255

收盘赔率 待定
AI 公平赔率 —
CLV 待定
最终赛果 卡納EC win · 坎丹戈 0–4 卡納EC
预测结果 ✔ Correct
决策评级 F

模型绩效

本场预测计入:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 比賽簡報

AI 比賽摘要

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 巴西利恩斯乙級聯賽
  • Fixture: 坎丹戈 vs 卡納EC
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 27.1% · Draw 29.1% · Away 43.9%
  • xG (showing): 坎丹戈 1.12 — 卡納EC 1.48 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.6% · No 46.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.6% · No 46.4%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.3%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

歷史推薦

歷史決策: No Primary Bet

結果: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

開賽前考慮的風險因素

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

最後更新

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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巴西利恩斯乙級聯賽 巴西利恩斯乙級聯賽 — 積分榜
# 球隊(TEAM) 出賽場次(MP) 勝(W) 平局(D) 輸(L) 積分(PTS)
1 塔瓜廷加EC 5 4 0 1 12
2 卡納EC 5 3 1 1 10
3 普拉納爾蒂納DF 5 2 1 2 7
4 GREVAL 5 1 3 1 6
5 萊吉昂 4 1 3 0 6
6 盧齊亞尼亞 5 1 1 3 4
7 坎丹戈 5 0 1 4 1
# 球隊(TEAM) 出賽場次(MP) 進球(GS) 失球(GC) +/- 積分(PTS)
1 GREVAL 5 11 7 +4 6
2 塔瓜廷加EC 5 9 1 +8 12
3 卡納EC 5 8 3 +5 10
4 萊吉昂 4 6 4 +2 6
5 普拉納爾蒂納DF 5 5 4 +1 7
6 盧齊亞尼亞 5 3 11 -8 4
7 坎丹戈 5 1 13 -12 1