統計 / 足球 / 世界. CECAFA Club Cup / Mogadishu City vs 辛吉達噴泉之門

Mogadishu City vs 辛吉達噴泉之門 Statistics & Analysis

Mogadishu City Mogadishu City
Jul 28, 2026 - 13:00
1 1.33
4 1.27
xG Accuracy: 43%
辛吉達噴泉之門 辛吉達噴泉之門
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追蹤市場與全場比賽結果

每行比較賽前模型傾向與全場比賽結果。

  • 市場 預測 結果 結果
  • 大小球2.5 小於2.5球 大於2.5球 (5 進球) ✖ 錯誤
  • 雙方進球 雙方進球 (BTTS) 是 是 ✔ 正確
  • 1X2 Mogadishu City 辛吉達噴泉之門 ✖ 錯誤
  • 波膽洞察 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-4 ✖ 錯誤

验证报告

Immutable Snapshot

预测时间: Jul 24, 2026 · 02:41 UTC 快照 ID: dp-1536786

收盘赔率 待定
AI 公平赔率 —
CLV 待定
最终赛果 辛吉達噴泉之門 win · Mogadishu City 1–4 辛吉達噴泉之門
预测结果 ✖ Missed
决策评级 F

模型绩效

本场预测计入：

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 比賽簡報

AI 比賽摘要

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: CECAFA Club Cup
  • Fixture: Mogadishu City vs 辛吉達噴泉之門
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-28 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
  • xG (showing): Mogadishu City 1.33 — 辛吉達噴泉之門 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

歷史推薦

歷史決策: No Primary Bet

結果: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

開賽前考慮的風險因素

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

最後更新

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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