統計 / 足球 / 世界. Africa Cup of Nations - Women / Malawi W vs 尚比亞女足

Malawi W vs 尚比亞女足 Statistics & Analysis

Malawi W Malawi W
Aug 05, 2026 - 20:00
1 1.34
2 1.26
xG Accuracy: 74%
尚比亞女足 尚比亞女足
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追蹤市場與全場比賽結果

每行比較賽前模型傾向與全場比賽結果。

  • 市場 預測 結果 結果
  • 大小球2.5 小於2.5球 大於2.5球 (3 進球) ✖ 錯誤
  • 雙方進球 雙方進球 (BTTS) 是 是 ✔ 正確
  • 1X2 Malawi W 尚比亞女足 ✖ 錯誤
  • 波膽洞察 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-2 ✔ 正確

验证报告

Immutable Snapshot

预测时间: Jul 30, 2026 · 02:35 UTC 快照 ID: dp-2485661

收盘赔率 待定
AI 公平赔率 —
CLV 待定
最终赛果 尚比亞女足 win · Malawi W 1–2 尚比亞女足
预测结果 ✖ Missed
决策评级 F

模型绩效

本场预测计入：

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 比賽簡報

AI 比賽摘要

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Africa Cup of Nations - Women
  • Fixture: Malawi W vs 尚比亞女足
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-05 20:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
  • xG (showing): Malawi W 1.34 — 尚比亞女足 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

歷史推薦

歷史決策: No Primary Bet

結果: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

開賽前考慮的風險因素

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

最後更新

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Africa Cup of Nations - Women Africa Cup of Nations - Women — 積分榜
# 球隊（TEAM） 出賽場次（MP） 勝（W） 平局（D） 輸（L） 積分（PTS）
1 Morocco W 3 2 1 0 7
2 阿爾及利亞女足 3 2 0 1 6
3 塞內加爾女足 3 1 1 1 4
4 Kenya W 3 0 0 3 0
# 球隊（TEAM） 出賽場次（MP） 進球（GS） 失球（GC） +/- 積分（PTS）
1 Morocco W 3 5 0 +5 7
2 阿爾及利亞女足 3 4 1 +3 6
3 塞內加爾女足 3 1 2 -1 4
4 Kenya W 3 0 7 -7 0