統計 / 足球 / 巴西. 聖卡塔琳娜杯 / 赫西利奧·盧茲 vs 梅特羅波利塔諾

赫西利奧·盧茲 vs 梅特羅波利塔諾 Statistics & Analysis

赫西利奧·盧茲 赫西利奧·盧茲
Aug 30, 2026 - 18:00
4 1.37
2 1.23
xG Accuracy: 39%
梅特羅波利塔諾 梅特羅波利塔諾
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

追蹤市場與全場比賽結果

每行比較賽前模型傾向與全場比賽結果。

  • 市場 預測 結果 結果
  • 大小球2.5 小於2.5球 大於2.5球 (6 進球) ✖ 錯誤
  • 雙方進球 雙方進球 (BTTS) 是 是 ✔ 正確
  • 1X2 赫西利奧·盧茲 赫西利奧·盧茲 ✔ 正確
  • 波膽洞察 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-2 ✖ 錯誤

验证报告

Immutable Snapshot

预测时间: Aug 24, 2026 · 02:33 UTC 快照 ID: dp-5303027

收盘赔率 待定
AI 公平赔率 —
CLV 待定
最终赛果 赫西利奧·盧茲 win · 赫西利奧·盧茲 4–2 梅特羅波利塔諾
预测结果 ✔ Correct
决策评级 B-

模型绩效

本场预测计入：

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): +37.5%

AI 比賽簡報

AI 比賽摘要

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 聖卡塔琳娜杯
  • Fixture: 赫西利奧·盧茲 vs 梅特羅波利塔諾
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-30 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
  • xG (showing): 赫西利奧·盧茲 1.37 — 梅特羅波利塔諾 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

歷史推薦

歷史決策: No Primary Bet

結果: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

開賽前考慮的風險因素

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

最後更新

September 15, 2026 (UTC)

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