統計 / 足球 / 德國. 德國U19甲級聯賽 / 弗赖堡U19 vs 斯圖加特克爾斯U19

弗赖堡U19 vs 斯圖加特克爾斯U19 Statistics & Analysis

Sep 05, 2026 - 11:00
1 1.42
1 1.18
xG Accuracy: 85%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

追蹤市場與全場比賽結果

每行比較賽前模型傾向與全場比賽結果。

  • 市場 預測 結果 結果
  • 大小球2.5 小於2.5球 小於2.5球 (2 進球) ✔ 正確
  • 雙方進球 雙方進球 (BTTS) 是 是 ✔ 正確
  • 1X2 弗赖堡U19 和局 ✖ 錯誤
  • 波膽洞察 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 1-1 ✔ 正確

验证报告

Immutable Snapshot

预测时间: Aug 30, 2026 · 01:26 UTC 快照 ID: dp-6128764

收盘赔率 待定
AI 公平赔率 —
CLV 待定
最终赛果 Draw · 弗赖堡U19 1–1 斯圖加特克爾斯U19
预测结果 ✖ Missed
决策评级 C

模型绩效

本场预测计入:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 比賽簡報

AI 比賽摘要

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 德國U19甲級聯賽
  • Fixture: 弗赖堡U19 vs 斯圖加特克爾斯U19
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-05 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.0% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.6%
  • xG (showing): 弗赖堡U19 1.42 — 斯圖加特克爾斯U19 1.18 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

歷史推薦

歷史決策: No Primary Bet

結果: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

開賽前考慮的風險因素

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

最後更新

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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