福爾法競技 vs 鄧迪聯隊II Statistics & Analysis

福爾法競技

Sep 26, 2026 - 14:00

2 1.40

1 1.20

xG Accuracy: 80%

鄧迪聯隊II

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追蹤市場與全場比賽結果

每行比較賽前模型傾向與全場比賽結果。

市場預測結果結果
大小球2.5 小於2.5球大於2.5球 (3 進球) ✖ 錯誤
雙方進球雙方進球 (BTTS) 否是 ✖ 錯誤
1X2 福爾法競技福爾法競技 ✔ 正確
波膽洞察 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ 正確

验证报告

Immutable Snapshot

预测时间: Sep 21, 2026 · 01:56 UTC 快照 ID: dp-10101647

收盘赔率待定

AI 公平赔率 —

CLV 待定

最终赛果 福爾法競技 win · 福爾法競技 2–1 鄧迪聯隊II

预测结果 ✔ Correct

决策评级 F

AI 比賽簡報

AI 比賽摘要

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: 蘇格蘭挑戰盃
Fixture: 福爾法競技 vs 鄧迪聯隊II
Kickoff: 2026-09-26 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 40.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 30.6%
xG (showing): 福爾法競技 1.4 — 鄧迪聯隊II 1.2 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

歷史推薦

歷史決策: No Primary Bet

結果: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

開賽前考慮的風險因素

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

最後更新

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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