統計 / 足球 / Macao. Primeira Divisão / Cheng Fung vs Shao Jiang

Cheng Fung vs Shao Jiang Statistics & Analysis

Jul 18, 2026 - 11:00
0 1.04
4 1.56
xG Accuracy: 38%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

追蹤市場與全場比賽結果

每行比較賽前模型傾向與全場比賽結果。

  • 市場 預測 結果 結果
  • 大小球2.5 小於2.5球 大於2.5球 (4 進球) ✖ 錯誤
  • 雙方進球 雙方進球 (BTTS) 是 否 ✖ 錯誤
  • 1X2 Shao Jiang Shao Jiang ✔ 正確
  • 波膽洞察 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 0-4 ✖ 錯誤

验证报告

Immutable Snapshot

预测时间: Jul 23, 2026 · 16:25 UTC 快照 ID: dp-1474250

收盘赔率 待定
AI 公平赔率 —
CLV 待定
最终赛果 Shao Jiang win · Cheng Fung 0–4 Shao Jiang
预测结果 ✔ Correct
决策评级 F

模型绩效

本场预测计入:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 比賽簡報

AI 比賽摘要

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Primeira Divisão
  • Fixture: Cheng Fung vs Shao Jiang
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-18 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 23.7% · Draw 28.5% · Away 47.8%
  • xG (showing): Cheng Fung 1.04 — Shao Jiang 1.56 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.6% · No 47.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 52.6% · No 47.4%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.1%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

歷史推薦

歷史決策: No Primary Bet

結果: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

開賽前考慮的風險因素

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

最後更新

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Primeira Divisão Primeira Divisão — 積分榜
# 球隊(TEAM) 出賽場次(MP) 勝(W) 平局(D) 輸(L) 積分(PTS)
1 Shao Jiang 13 10 2 1 32
2 CPK 12 9 1 2 28
3 Jia Hua 12 8 1 3 25
4 Chiba 12 6 3 3 21
5 Cheng Fung 13 5 4 4 19
6 Benfica 12 4 4 4 16
7 Gorilla of the Universe 12 4 1 7 13
8 Hang Sai 12 2 3 7 9
9 Artilheiros 12 2 2 8 8
10 Universidade de Macau 12 0 1 11 1
# 球隊(TEAM) 出賽場次(MP) 進球(GS) 失球(GC) +/- 積分(PTS)
1 CPK 12 57 9 +48 28
2 Shao Jiang 13 52 13 +39 32
3 Jia Hua 12 35 16 +19 25
4 Chiba 12 33 21 +12 21
5 Gorilla of the Universe 12 32 51 -19 13
6 Cheng Fung 13 23 19 +4 19
7 Benfica 12 23 28 -5 16
8 Hang Sai 12 18 28 -10 9
9 Artilheiros 12 15 62 -47 8
10 Universidade de Macau 12 7 48 -41 1