統計 / 足球 / 世界. 球會友誼賽 / 馬梅爾 vs 綠色男孩

馬梅爾 vs 綠色男孩 Statistics & Analysis

馬梅爾 馬梅爾
Jul 21, 2026 - 17:30
2 1.33
1 1.27
xG Accuracy: 77%
綠色男孩 綠色男孩
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追蹤市場與全場比賽結果

每行比較賽前模型傾向與全場比賽結果。

  • 市場 預測 結果 結果
  • 大小球2.5 小於2.5球 大於2.5球 (3 進球) ✖ 錯誤
  • 雙方進球 雙方進球 (BTTS) 是 是 ✔ 正確
  • 1X2 馬梅爾 馬梅爾 ✔ 正確
  • 波膽洞察 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ 正確

验证报告

Immutable Snapshot

预测时间: Jul 26, 2026 · 04:24 UTC 快照 ID: dp-1818054

收盘赔率 待定
AI 公平赔率 —
CLV 待定
最终赛果 馬梅爾 win · 馬梅爾 2–1 綠色男孩
预测结果 ✔ Correct
决策评级 B-

模型绩效

本场预测计入：

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 比賽簡報

AI 比賽摘要

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Club Friendlies
  • Fixture: 馬梅爾 vs 綠色男孩
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-21 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
  • xG (showing): 馬梅爾 1.33 — 綠色男孩 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

歷史推薦

歷史決策: No Primary Bet

結果: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

開賽前考慮的風險因素

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

最後更新

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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