統計 / 足球 / 日本. 日本聯賽盃 / 鹿兒島聯 vs 札幌岡薩多

鹿兒島聯 vs 札幌岡薩多 Statistics & Analysis

Sep 02, 2026 - 10:00
0 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 64%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

追蹤市場與全場比賽結果

每行比較賽前模型傾向與全場比賽結果。

  • 市場 預測 結果 結果
  • 大小球2.5 小於2.5球 小於2.5球 (1 進球) ✔ 正確
  • 雙方進球 雙方進球 (BTTS) 是 否 ✖ 錯誤
  • 1X2 鹿兒島聯 札幌岡薩多 ✖ 錯誤
  • 波膽洞察 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ 正確

验证报告

Immutable Snapshot

预测时间: Aug 27, 2026 · 01:44 UTC 快照 ID: dp-5619522

收盘赔率 待定
AI 公平赔率 —
CLV 待定
最终赛果 札幌岡薩多 win · 鹿兒島聯 0–1 札幌岡薩多
预测结果 ✖ Missed
决策评级 F

模型绩效

本场预测计入:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 比賽簡報

AI 比賽摘要

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 日本聯賽盃
  • Fixture: 鹿兒島聯 vs 札幌岡薩多
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-02 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): 鹿兒島聯 1.32 — 札幌岡薩多 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 48.2% · Implied: 45.6% · Probability edge: +2.6 pts · Est. EV: +2.2%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

歷史推薦

歷史決策: No Primary Bet

結果: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

開賽前考慮的風險因素

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

最後更新

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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