納傑瑪 vs 伊蒂哈德 Statistics & Analysis

納傑瑪

Aug 18, 2026 - 16:15

0 1.16

3 1.44

xG Accuracy: 47%

伊蒂哈德

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追蹤市場與全場比賽結果

每行比較賽前模型傾向與全場比賽結果。

市場預測結果結果
大小球2.5 小於2.5球大於2.5球 (3 進球) ✖ 錯誤
雙方進球雙方進球 (BTTS) 是否 ✖ 錯誤
1X2 伊蒂哈德伊蒂哈德 ✔ 正確
波膽洞察 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 0-3 ✖ 錯誤

验证报告

Immutable Snapshot

预测时间: Aug 12, 2026 · 02:11 UTC 快照 ID: dp-3728023

收盘赔率待定

AI 公平赔率 —

CLV 待定

最终赛果 伊蒂哈德 win · 納傑瑪 0–3 伊蒂哈德

预测结果 ✔ Correct

决策评级 F

模型绩效

本场预测计入：

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 比賽簡報

AI 比賽摘要

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: 沙特國王盃
Fixture: 納傑瑪 vs 伊蒂哈德
Kickoff: 2026-08-18 16:15:00
1X2 (model): Home 28.8% · Draw 29.3% · Away 41.9%
xG (showing): 納傑瑪 1.16 — 伊蒂哈德 1.44 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.0% · No 46.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.0% · No 46.0%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

歷史推薦

歷史決策: No Primary Bet

結果: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

開賽前考慮的風險因素

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

最後更新

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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