賈巴林 vs 阿爾伊蒂法克 Statistics & Analysis

賈巴林

Aug 18, 2026 - 16:15

1 1.36

0 1.24

xG Accuracy: 64%

阿爾伊蒂法克

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追蹤市場與全場比賽結果

每行比較賽前模型傾向與全場比賽結果。

市場預測結果結果
大小球2.5 小於2.5球小於2.5球 (1 進球) ✔ 正確
雙方進球雙方進球 (BTTS) 是否 ✖ 錯誤
1X2 賈巴林賈巴林 ✔ 正確
波膽洞察 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ 正確

验证报告

Immutable Snapshot

预测时间: Aug 12, 2026 · 02:11 UTC 快照 ID: dp-3728004

收盘赔率待定

AI 公平赔率 —

CLV 待定

最终赛果 賈巴林 win · 賈巴林 1–0 阿爾伊蒂法克

预测结果 ✔ Correct

决策评级 B-

模型绩效

本场预测计入：

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 比賽簡報

AI 比賽摘要

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: 沙特國王盃
Fixture: 賈巴林 vs 阿爾伊蒂法克
Kickoff: 2026-08-18 16:15:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
xG (showing): 賈巴林 1.36 — 阿爾伊蒂法克 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

歷史推薦

歷史決策: No Primary Bet

結果: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

開賽前考慮的風險因素

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

最後更新

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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