統計 / 足球 / 瓜地馬拉. 危地馬拉國家聯賽 / 瓜斯塔托亞 vs 奧羅拉

瓜斯塔托亞 vs 奧羅拉 Statistics & Analysis

Oct 04, 2026 - 23:00
2 1.46
1 1.14
xG Accuracy: 83%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

追蹤市場與全場比賽結果

每行比較賽前模型傾向與全場比賽結果。

  • 市場 預測 結果 結果
  • 大小球2.5 大於2.5球 大於2.5球 (3 進球) ✔ 正確
  • 雙方進球 雙方進球 (BTTS) 是 是 ✔ 正確
  • 1X2 瓜斯塔托亞 瓜斯塔托亞 ✔ 正確
  • 波膽洞察 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 2-1 ✔ 正確

验证报告

Immutable Snapshot

预测时间: Sep 29, 2026 · 02:40 UTC 快照 ID: dp-11688916

收盘赔率 待定
AI 公平赔率 —
CLV 待定
最终赛果 瓜斯塔托亞 win · 瓜斯塔托亞 2–1 奧羅拉
预测结果 ✔ Correct
决策评级 A

模型绩效

本场预测计入:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 比賽簡報

AI 比賽摘要

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 危地馬拉國家聯賽
  • Fixture: 瓜斯塔托亞 vs 奧羅拉
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 23:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 42.9% · Draw 29.2% · Away 27.9%
  • xG (showing): 瓜斯塔托亞 1.46 — 奧羅拉 1.14 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.8% · No 46.2%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.8% · No 46.2%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

歷史推薦

歷史決策: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

結果: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

開賽前考慮的風險因素

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

最後更新

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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