統計 / 足球 / 世界. 球會友誼賽 / 弗賴貝格SGV vs 霍芬海姆二隊

弗賴貝格SGV vs 霍芬海姆二隊 Statistics & Analysis

弗賴貝格SGV 弗賴貝格SGV
Jul 11, 2026 - 12:00
1 1.40
6 1.20
xG Accuracy: 24%
霍芬海姆二隊 霍芬海姆二隊
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追蹤市場與全場比賽結果

每行比較賽前模型傾向與全場比賽結果。

  • 市場 預測 結果 結果
  • 大小球2.5 小於2.5球 大於2.5球 (7 進球) ✖ 錯誤
  • 雙方進球 雙方進球 (BTTS) 是 是 ✔ 正確
  • 1X2 弗賴貝格SGV 霍芬海姆二隊 ✖ 錯誤
  • 波膽洞察 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-6 ✖ 錯誤

验证报告

Immutable Snapshot

预测时间: Jul 26, 2026 · 03:13 UTC 快照 ID: dp-1807522

收盘赔率 待定
AI 公平赔率 —
CLV 待定
最终赛果 霍芬海姆二隊 win · 弗賴貝格SGV 1–6 霍芬海姆二隊
预测结果 ✖ Missed
决策评级 F

模型绩效

本场预测计入：

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 比賽簡報

AI 比賽摘要

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 球會友誼賽
  • Fixture: 弗賴貝格SGV vs 霍芬海姆二隊
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-11 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 40.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 30.6%
  • xG (showing): 弗賴貝格SGV 1.4 — 霍芬海姆二隊 1.2 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

歷史推薦

歷史決策: No Primary Bet

結果: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

開賽前考慮的風險因素

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

最後更新

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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