統計 / 足球 / 中國. 中國乙級聯賽 (中乙) / 江西聯盛 vs 成都蓉城二隊

江西聯盛 vs 成都蓉城二隊 Statistics & Analysis

Jun 13, 2026 - 11:30
1 1.23
0 1.37
xG Accuracy: 64%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

追蹤市場與全場比賽結果

每行比較賽前模型傾向與全場比賽結果。

  • 市場 預測 結果 結果
  • 大小球2.5 大於2.5球 小於2.5球 (1 進球) ✖ 錯誤
  • 雙方進球 雙方進球 (BTTS) 是 否 ✖ 錯誤
  • 1X2 成都蓉城二隊 江西聯盛 ✖ 錯誤
  • 波膽洞察 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ 正確

验证报告

Immutable Snapshot

预测时间: Jul 27, 2026 · 11:54 UTC 快照 ID: dp-2005224

收盘赔率 待定
AI 公平赔率 2.6
CLV 待定
最终赛果 江西聯盛 win · 江西聯盛 1–0 成都蓉城二隊
预测结果 ✖ Missed
决策评级 F

概率校准

  • 期望概率: 38.5%
  • 历史概率桶: 35–40% — 样本积累中

模型绩效

本场预测计入:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 比賽簡報

AI 比賽摘要

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 中國乙級聯賽 (中乙)
  • Fixture: 江西聯盛 vs 成都蓉城二隊
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-13 11:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.5%
  • xG (showing): 江西聯盛 1.23 — 成都蓉城二隊 1.37 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 54.4% · Implied: 43.5% · Probability edge: +10.9 pts · Est. EV: +18.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

歷史推薦

歷史決策: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

結果: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

開賽前考慮的風險因素

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

最後更新

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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