統計 / 足球 / 葡萄牙. 葡萄牙U19青年聯賽 / 本菲卡U19 vs 萊里亞聯合U19

本菲卡U19 vs 萊里亞聯合U19 Statistics & Analysis

本菲卡U19 本菲卡U19
May 10, 2026 - 15:00
5 1.45
2 1.25
xG Accuracy: 31%
萊里亞聯合U19 萊里亞聯合U19
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

追蹤市場與全場比賽結果

每行比較賽前模型傾向與全場比賽結果。

  • 市場 預測 結果 結果
  • 大小球2.5 大於2.5球 大於2.5球 (7 進球) ✔ 正確
  • 雙方進球 雙方進球 (BTTS) 是 是 ✔ 正確
  • 1X2 本菲卡U19 本菲卡U19 ✔ 正確
  • 波膽洞察 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 2-0, 1-2 5-2 ✖ 錯誤

验证报告

Immutable Snapshot

预测时间: Jul 24, 2026 · 21:34 UTC 快照 ID: dp-1645580

收盘赔率 待定
AI 公平赔率 —
CLV 待定
最终赛果 本菲卡U19 win · 本菲卡U19 5–2 萊里亞聯合U19
预测结果 ✔ Correct
决策评级 A

模型绩效

本场预测计入：

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 比賽簡報

AI 比賽摘要

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 葡萄牙U19青年聯賽
  • Fixture: 本菲卡U19 vs 萊里亞聯合U19
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-09 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): 本菲卡U19 1.45 — 萊里亞聯合U19 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 41.2% · Over 2.5 58.8%); BTTS Yes (Yes 77.2% · No 22.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 77.2% · No 22.8%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (10.7%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

歷史推薦

歷史決策: No Primary Bet

結果: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

開賽前考慮的風險因素

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

最後更新

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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