菲根 vs Völs Statistics & Analysis

菲根

May 16, 2026 - 15:00

4 1.45

1 1.25

xG Accuracy: 46%

Völs

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追蹤市場與全場比賽結果

每行比較賽前模型傾向與全場比賽結果。

市場預測結果結果
大小球2.5 大於2.5球大於2.5球 (5 進球) ✔ 正確
雙方進球雙方進球 (BTTS) 是是 ✔ 正確
1X2 菲根菲根 ✔ 正確
波膽洞察 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 2-2, 1-0 4-1 ✖ 錯誤

验证报告

Immutable Snapshot

预测时间: Jul 24, 2026 · 03:40 UTC 快照 ID: dp-1545183

收盘赔率待定

AI 公平赔率 —

CLV 待定

最终赛果 菲根 win · 菲根 4–1 Völs

预测结果 ✔ Correct

决策评级 A

模型绩效

本场预测计入：

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 比賽簡報

AI 比賽摘要

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Landesliga - Tirol
Fixture: 菲根 vs Völs
Kickoff: 2026-05-15 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): 菲根 1.45 — Völs 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 34.0% · Over 2.5 66.0%); BTTS Yes (Yes 84.2% · No 15.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 84.2% · No 15.8%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (9.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

歷史推薦

歷史決策: No Primary Bet

結果: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

開賽前考慮的風險因素

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

最後更新

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Landesliga - Tirol — 積分榜

#	球隊（TEAM）	出賽場次（MP）	勝（W）	平局（D）	輸（L）	積分（PTS）
1	St. Johann in Tirol	24	17	3	4	54
2	施華洛世奇蒂羅爾二隊	23	16	5	2	53
3	菲根	25	17	2	6	53
4	Innsbrucker AC	24	11	4	9	37
5	Kundl	23	11	2	10	35
6	Ebbs	25	10	5	10	35
7	Völs	23	8	9	6	33
8	Telfs	24	9	2	13	29
9	Oberperfuss	25	9	2	14	29
10	Silz / Mötz	25	9	1	15	28
11	Kematen	25	6	7	12	25
12	沃格爾	23	8	1	14	25
13	Mils	23	5	6	12	21
14	Volders	24	5	5	14	20

#	球隊（TEAM）	出賽場次（MP）	進球（GS）	失球（GC）	+/-	積分（PTS）
1	菲根	25	66	35	+31	53
2	St. Johann in Tirol	24	56	24	+32	54
3	施華洛世奇蒂羅爾二隊	23	54	21	+33	53
4	Silz / Mötz	25	50	58	-8	28
5	Kundl	23	49	37	+12	35
6	Ebbs	25	49	40	+9	35
7	Oberperfuss	25	47	59	-12	29
8	Telfs	24	45	49	-4	29
9	Innsbrucker AC	24	43	34	+9	37
10	Kematen	25	41	59	-18	25
11	Völs	23	34	34	0	33
12	Mils	23	30	55	-25	21
13	沃格爾	23	28	56	-28	25
14	Volders	24	28	59	-31	20