統計 / 足球 / 法國. National 3 - Group F / Thaon vs Ivry

Thaon vs Ivry Statistics & Analysis

Thaon Thaon
May 09, 2026 - 16:00
0 1.45
3 1.25
xG Accuracy: 42%
Ivry Ivry
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追蹤市場與全場比賽結果

每行比較賽前模型傾向與全場比賽結果。

  • 市場 預測 結果 結果
  • 大小球2.5 大於2.5球 大於2.5球 (3 進球) ✔ 正確
  • 雙方進球 雙方進球 (BTTS) 否 否 ✔ 正確
  • 1X2 draw Ivry ✖ 錯誤
  • 波膽洞察 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 0-3 ✖ 錯誤

验证报告

Immutable Snapshot

预测时间: Jul 24, 2026 · 23:48 UTC 快照 ID: dp-1657843

收盘赔率 待定
AI 公平赔率 —
CLV 待定
最终赛果 Ivry win · Thaon 0–3 Ivry
预测结果 ✖ Missed
决策评级 C

模型绩效

本场预测计入：

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 比賽簡報

AI 比賽摘要

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: National 3 - Group F
  • Fixture: Thaon vs Ivry
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-09 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Thaon 1.45 — Ivry 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 49.4% · Over 2.5 50.6%); BTTS No (Yes 49.5% · No 50.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 49.5% · No 50.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.1%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

歷史推薦

歷史決策: No Primary Bet

結果: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

開賽前考慮的風險因素

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

最後更新

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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National 3 - Group F National 3 - Group F — 積分榜
# 球隊（TEAM） 出賽場次（MP） 勝（W） 平局（D） 輸（L） 積分（PTS）
1 特魯瓦二隊 26 15 6 5 51
2 Thonon Évian 26 13 7 6 46
3 Chalon 26 12 9 5 45
4 Racing Besançon 26 11 10 5 43
5 Jura Dolois 26 12 6 8 42
6 Torcy 26 10 7 9 37
7 Pontarlier 26 9 9 8 36
8 Ivry 26 9 8 9 35
9 Thaon 26 9 5 12 32
10 Belfort 26 7 9 10 30
11 Mulhouse 26 8 6 12 30
12 斯特拉斯堡二隊 26 7 7 12 28
13 Sochaux II 26 7 6 13 27
14 Besançon 26 2 7 17 13
# 球隊（TEAM） 出賽場次（MP） 進球（GS） 失球（GC） +/- 積分（PTS）
1 特魯瓦二隊 26 54 32 +22 51
2 Thaon 26 44 42 +2 32
3 Thonon Évian 26 43 31 +12 46
4 Chalon 26 41 29 +12 45
5 Racing Besançon 26 38 24 +14 43
6 Pontarlier 26 38 31 +7 36
7 Jura Dolois 26 37 31 +6 42
8 Belfort 26 37 34 +3 30
9 Sochaux II 26 37 44 -7 27
10 Mulhouse 26 35 46 -11 30
11 Torcy 26 32 30 +2 37
12 斯特拉斯堡二隊 26 28 48 -20 28
13 Ivry 26 26 29 -3 35
14 Besançon 26 18 57 -39 13