統計 / 足球 / 法國. National 3 - Group C / Guingamp II vs Ergué-Gaberic

Guingamp II vs Ergué-Gaberic Statistics & Analysis

Guingamp II Guingamp II
May 09, 2026 - 16:00
2 1.45
3 1.25
xG Accuracy: 53%
Ergué-Gaberic Ergué-Gaberic
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追蹤市場與全場比賽結果

每行比較賽前模型傾向與全場比賽結果。

  • 市場 預測 結果 結果
  • 大小球2.5 小於2.5球 大於2.5球 (5 進球) ✖ 錯誤
  • 雙方進球 雙方進球 (BTTS) 是 是 ✔ 正確
  • 1X2 Guingamp II Ergué-Gaberic ✖ 錯誤
  • 波膽洞察 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 2-3 ✖ 錯誤

验证报告

Immutable Snapshot

预测时间: Aug 05, 2026 · 17:05 UTC 快照 ID: dp-3061885

收盘赔率 待定
AI 公平赔率 —
CLV 待定
最终赛果 Ergué-Gaberic win · Guingamp II 2–3 Ergué-Gaberic
预测结果 ✖ Missed
决策评级 F

模型绩效

本场预测计入：

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 比賽簡報

AI 比賽摘要

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: National 3 - Group C
  • Fixture: Guingamp II vs Ergué-Gaberic
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-09 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Guingamp II 1.45 — Ergué-Gaberic 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 50.6% · Over 2.5 49.4%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.1% · No 46.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.1% · No 46.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.2%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

歷史推薦

歷史決策: No Primary Bet

結果: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

開賽前考慮的風險因素

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

最後更新

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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National 3 - Group C National 3 - Group C — 積分榜
# 球隊（TEAM） 出賽場次（MP） 勝（W） 平局（D） 輸（L） 積分（PTS）
1 龐蒂維GSI 26 16 8 2 56
2 Vire 26 15 8 3 53
3 Vitré 26 9 12 5 39
4 Laval II 26 12 3 11 39
5 Guingamp II 26 10 5 11 35
6 Cesson 26 9 7 10 34
7 Lannion 26 8 9 9 33
8 Brest II 26 8 8 10 32
9 Saint-Pierre Milizac 26 8 8 10 32
10 Alençon 26 7 9 10 30
11 Rennes II 26 6 11 9 29
12 Vannes 26 8 7 11 29
13 Ergué-Gaberic 26 7 8 11 26
14 Drapeau Fougères 26 4 7 15 19
# 球隊（TEAM） 出賽場次（MP） 進球（GS） 失球（GC） +/- 積分（PTS）
1 龐蒂維GSI 26 42 24 +18 56
2 Vire 26 41 17 +24 53
3 Alençon 26 39 53 -14 30
4 Guingamp II 26 36 33 +3 35
5 Cesson 26 35 30 +5 34
6 Lannion 26 34 31 +3 33
7 Rennes II 26 32 26 +6 29
8 Vannes 26 32 39 -7 29
9 Laval II 26 31 25 +6 39
10 Brest II 26 29 31 -2 32
11 Ergué-Gaberic 26 28 43 -15 26
12 Vitré 26 27 24 +3 39
13 Saint-Pierre Milizac 26 27 34 -7 32
14 Drapeau Fougères 26 20 43 -23 19