統計 / 足球 / 德國. 德國奧伯聯賽 - 石勒蘇益格-荷爾斯泰因 / 菲尼克斯L.II vs Preußen Reinfeld

菲尼克斯L.II vs Preußen Reinfeld Statistics & Analysis

菲尼克斯L.II 菲尼克斯L.II
May 10, 2026 - 16:00
4 1.45
4 1.25
xG Accuracy: 23%
Preußen Reinfeld Preußen Reinfeld
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

追蹤市場與全場比賽結果

每行比較賽前模型傾向與全場比賽結果。

  • 市場 預測 結果 結果
  • 大小球2.5 大於2.5球 大於2.5球 (8 進球) ✔ 正確
  • 雙方進球 雙方進球 (BTTS) 是 是 ✔ 正確
  • 1X2 菲尼克斯L.II 和局 ✖ 錯誤
  • 波膽洞察 2-1, 3-1, 1-1, 2-2, 3-2 4-4 ✖ 錯誤

验证报告

Immutable Snapshot

预测时间: Aug 07, 2026 · 00:53 UTC 快照 ID: dp-3149752

收盘赔率 待定
AI 公平赔率 —
CLV 待定
最终赛果 Draw · 菲尼克斯L.II 4–4 Preußen Reinfeld
预测结果 ✖ Missed
决策评级 C

模型绩效

本场预测计入：

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI 比賽簡報

AI 比賽摘要

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 德國奧伯聯賽 - 石勒蘇益格-荷爾斯泰因
  • Fixture: 菲尼克斯L.II vs Preußen Reinfeld
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-10 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): 菲尼克斯L.II 1.45 — Preußen Reinfeld 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 23.1% · Over 2.5 76.9%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.3% · No 46.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.3% · No 46.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 2-1 (8.4%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

歷史推薦

歷史決策: No Primary Bet

結果: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

開賽前考慮的風險因素

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

最後更新

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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