AZ Alkmaar Predictions & Analysis

Netherlands Founded: 1967 ALK

Overperforming Attack

AI Betting Profile

AZ Alkmaar have outperformed their expected goals recently, averaging 2.31 xG but scoring 2.8 goals per game with clinical finishing.

Performance Insights

Finishing Edge — 2.31 xG vs 2.8 goals/game (+0.49 above expected)
Balanced Totals — 60% Over / 40% Under in last 10, no clear edge
Balanced BTTS — 50% both teams scored in last 10 matches
Shot Quality — 19.0 shots/game, 7.0 on target (36.8% accuracy)

Explore AZ Alkmaar's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

Current Form

L D W W W

Win Rate

80%

Record (Last 10)

8W 1D 1L

Upcoming Predictions (1)

Upcoming AZ Alkmaar Matches

Netherlands. Eredivisie (1)

12:30

AZ Alkmaar

53% 24% 23% PREDICTION

Telstar

1.98 : 1.25

xG:

1.98 : 1.25

Recent Results & Statistics for AZ Alkmaar (10)

Date

League

Match

Outcome

AZ Alkmaar Stats & Trends

All figures below are based on the last 10 completed matches.

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 28

Goals Conceded 9

Avg. Goals Scored 2.8

Avg. Goals Conceded 0.9

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10

Wins 8

Draws 1

Losses 1

Win Rate 80%

Home (5) 4W 1D 0L

Away (5) 4W 0D 1L

Match Trends

Over 2.5 Rate 60%

Under 2.5 Rate 40%

BTTS Rate 50%

Avg. Total Goals 3.7

AI Prediction Record

Forecast Reliability Reliable Model correctly called 8/10 outcomes (1X2) in recent matches. Model has tracked this team well in recent fixtures.

1X2 Prediction Accuracy 80% (8/10)

Over 2.5 Prediction Accuracy 60%

BTTS Prediction Accuracy 50%

Correct Score Prediction Accuracy 30%

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 8 out of 10 recent AZ Alkmaar matches, achieving a 80% accuracy rate. The model shows consistent accuracy across both home and away fixtures (80%). This strong accuracy suggests the model has a solid grasp of this team's playing patterns.

Overall Accuracy 80%

Home Accuracy 80%

Away Accuracy 80%

Attacking Trends

AZ Alkmaar average 2.8 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 19.0 shots per game with 7.0 on target (36.8% shot accuracy). With an average xG of 2.31 against 2.8 actual goals, the team is over-performing — indicating clinical finishing. With 59% average possession, AZ Alkmaar employ a possession-dominant playing style.

Goals/Game 2.8

Avg. Shots 19.0

Shot Accuracy 36.8%

Avg. xG 2.31

Possession 59%

Home vs Away Performance

AZ Alkmaar show little home advantage In their last 5 home and 5 away matches, they have a 80% home win rate (4W) vs 80% away (4W). At home, they score 3.0 goals/game and concede 1.0, while away they score 2.6 and concede 0.8. Interestingly, their defensive record is actually better away from home.

Home Win Rate 80%

Away Win Rate 80%

Home Goals/Game 3.0

Away Goals/Game 2.6

Goal Distribution

AZ Alkmaar's goals are predominantly scored in the second half, with 38% coming before half-time and 62% after. Their most dangerous period is the 0-15 minute window, accounting for 26% of goals. Notably, 26% of their goals come in the final 15 minutes (76-90'), making them a genuine late-game threat. They are particularly dangerous in the opening 15 minutes, scoring 26% of goals in that window.

26%

0-15'

16-30'

10%

31-45'

18%

46-60'

18%

61-75'

26%

76-90'

1st Half Goals 38%

2nd Half Goals 62%

Peak Period 0-15 min (26%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In AZ Alkmaar's last 10 matches, 6 games (60%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 4 (40%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 3.7 (scored 2.8 + conceded 0.9). The data strongly leans towards Over 2.5, suggesting high-scoring encounters. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 50% of matches.

Over 2.5 60%

Under 2.5 40%

Avg. Total Goals 3.7

BTTS Rate 50%