Statistics / Football / World. Friendlies Clubs / Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America

Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America Statistics & Analysis

Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
Oct 05, 2026 - 01:10
2 1.32
0 1.28
xG Accuracy: 58%
Club America Club America
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 01, 2026 · 01:19 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12179761

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Guadalajara Chivas win · Guadalajara Chivas 2–0 Club America
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Friendlies Clubs
  • Fixture: Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-05 01:10:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.2% · Draw 27.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): Guadalajara Chivas 1.32 — Club America 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 41.9% · Probability edge: +9.9 pts · Est. EV: +15.5%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.5% · No 46.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 08, 2026 (UTC)

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