Guadalajara Chivas Predictions & Analysis

Mexico Founded: 1906 GUA

Overperforming Attack Home Fortress

AI Betting Profile

Guadalajara Chivas have outperformed their expected goals recently, averaging 1.43 xG but scoring 1.8 goals per game with clinical finishing. Home form has been stronger (75% home win rate vs 50% away), scoring 2.2 goals per game at home.

Performance Insights

Finishing Edge — 1.43 xG vs 1.8 goals/game (+0.37 above expected)
Home Strength — 75% home win rate, scoring 2.2 goals/game at home
Balanced Totals — 40% Over / 60% Under in last 10, no clear edge
Balanced BTTS — 50% both teams scored in last 10 matches

Explore Guadalajara Chivas's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

Current Form

W W D W W

Win Rate

60%

Record (Last 10)

6W 3D 1L

Upcoming Predictions (1)

Upcoming Guadalajara Chivas Matches

Mexico. Liga MX (1)

03:15

Club America

32% 33% 35% PREDICTION

Guadalajara Chivas

1.02 : 1.09

xG:

1.02 : 1.09

Recent Results & Statistics for Guadalajara Chivas (10)

Date

League

Match

Outcome

Guadalajara Chivas Stats & Trends

All figures below are based on the last 10 completed matches.

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 18

Goals Conceded 7

Avg. Goals Scored 1.8

Avg. Goals Conceded 0.7

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10

Wins 6

Draws 3

Losses 1

Win Rate 60%

Home (4) 3W 0D 1L

Away (6) 3W 3D 0L

Match Trends

Over 2.5 Rate 40%

Under 2.5 Rate 60%

BTTS Rate 50%

Avg. Total Goals 2.5

AI Prediction Record

Forecast Reliability Moderate Model correctly called 5/10 outcomes (1X2) in recent matches. Mixed record — cross-check with performance insights above.

1X2 Prediction Accuracy 50% (5/10)

Over 2.5 Prediction Accuracy 50%

BTTS Prediction Accuracy 30%

Correct Score Prediction Accuracy 60%

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 5 out of 10 recent Guadalajara Chivas matches, achieving a 50% accuracy rate. The model performs significantly better on home games (75% accuracy) compared to away fixtures (33%). This moderate accuracy reflects the inherent unpredictability of match outcomes.

Overall Accuracy 50%

Home Accuracy 75%

Away Accuracy 33%

Attacking Trends

Guadalajara Chivas average 1.8 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 15.9 shots per game with 6.6 on target (41.5% shot accuracy). With an average xG of 1.43 against 1.8 actual goals, the team is over-performing — indicating clinical finishing. With 64% average possession, Guadalajara Chivas employ a possession-dominant playing style.

Goals/Game 1.8

Avg. Shots 15.9

Shot Accuracy 41.5%

Avg. xG 1.43

Possession 64%

Home vs Away Performance

Guadalajara Chivas show a strong home advantage In their last 4 home and 6 away matches, they have a 75% home win rate (3W) vs 50% away (3W). At home, they score 2.2 goals/game and concede 0.8, while away they score 1.5 and concede 0.7. Interestingly, their defensive record is actually better away from home.

Home Win Rate 75%

Away Win Rate 50%

Home Goals/Game 2.2

Away Goals/Game 1.5

Goal Distribution

Guadalajara Chivas's goals are predominantly scored in the second half, with 32% coming before half-time and 68% after. Their most dangerous period is the 76-90 minute window, accounting for 32% of goals. Notably, 32% of their goals come in the final 15 minutes (76-90'), making them a genuine late-game threat.

10%

0-15'

12%

16-30'

10%

31-45'

18%

46-60'

18%

61-75'

32%

76-90'

1st Half Goals 32%

2nd Half Goals 68%

Peak Period 76-90 min (32%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Guadalajara Chivas's last 10 matches, 4 games (40%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 6 (60%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 2.5 (scored 1.8 + conceded 0.7). The trend clearly favors Under 2.5, indicating typically low-scoring affairs. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 50% of matches.

Over 2.5 40%

Under 2.5 60%

Avg. Total Goals 2.5

BTTS Rate 50%