Statistics / Football / Lebanon. Premier League / Shabab Al Sahel vs Safa

Shabab Al Sahel vs Safa Statistics & Analysis

Oct 13, 2026 - 12:00
0 1.24
3 1.36
xG Accuracy: 45%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Safa Safa ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 07, 2026 · 01:49 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13656068

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Safa win · Shabab Al Sahel 0–3 Safa
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Premier League
  • Fixture: Shabab Al Sahel vs Safa
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-13 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.0%
  • xG (showing): Shabab Al Sahel 1.24 — Safa 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 54.4% · Implied: 48.8% · Probability edge: +5.6 pts · Est. EV: +8.8%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Premier League Premier League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Jwaaya FC 2 2 0 0 6
2 Safa 2 2 0 0 6
3 Al Nejmeh 2 1 1 0 4
4 Tripoli SC 2 1 1 0 4
5 Tadamon Sour 2 1 1 0 4
6 Al Ahed 2 1 1 0 4
7 Al Ansar 1 1 0 0 3
8 Reyady Abaseya 1 0 0 1 0
9 Al Hikma 2 0 0 2 0
10 Al Mabarrah 2 0 0 2 0
11 Shabab Al Sahel 2 0 0 2 0
12 Al Akhaa Al Ahli 2 0 0 2 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Jwaaya FC 2 6 0 +6 6
2 Safa 2 5 1 +4 6
3 Al Nejmeh 2 5 3 +2 4
4 Tadamon Sour 2 4 3 +1 4
5 Tripoli SC 2 3 1 +2 4
6 Al Ahed 2 2 1 +1 4
7 Al Ansar 1 2 1 +1 3
8 Reyady Abaseya 1 1 2 -1 0
9 Al Hikma 2 1 5 -4 0
10 Al Mabarrah 2 0 4 -4 0
11 Shabab Al Sahel 2 0 4 -4 0
12 Al Akhaa Al Ahli 2 0 4 -4 0