Statistics / Football / Mexico. Primera Premier / Cordobés vs Irapuato

Cordobés vs Irapuato Statistics & Analysis

Cordobés Cordobés
Sep 05, 2026 - 23:00
0 1.32
3 1.28
xG Accuracy: 43%
Irapuato Irapuato
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Cordobés Irapuato ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 30, 2026 · 04:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6170445

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Irapuato win · Cordobés 0–3 Irapuato
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Primera Premier
  • Fixture: Cordobés vs Irapuato
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-05 22:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Cordobés 1.32 — Irapuato 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Primera Premier Primera Premier — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Racing de Veracruz 3 3 0 0 9
2 Irapuato 3 3 0 0 9
3 Reboceros La Piedad 3 3 0 0 9
4 Celaya 3 2 1 0 7
5 Tigres de Alica 3 2 0 1 6
6 Deportiva Venados 2 1 1 0 4
7 Montañeses 3 1 1 1 4
8 Zacatepec 1948 3 1 1 1 4
9 Pioneros de Cancún 2 1 0 1 3
10 Los Cabos United 3 1 0 2 3
11 Jaguares de Chiapas 3 1 0 2 3
12 Tapachula 3 1 0 2 3
13 Tritons Vallarta 2 0 1 1 1
14 H2O Purepechas 2 0 1 1 1
15 Cordobés 3 0 1 2 1
16 Chapulineros 3 0 1 2 1
17 Lobos ULMX 2 0 0 2 0
18 Inter Playa del Carmen 2 0 0 2 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Racing de Veracruz 3 12 2 +10 9
2 Irapuato 3 7 2 +5 9
3 Reboceros La Piedad 3 6 1 +5 9
4 Celaya 3 6 1 +5 7
5 Tigres de Alica 3 6 4 +2 6
6 Montañeses 3 5 6 -1 4
7 Pioneros de Cancún 2 4 3 +1 3
8 Zacatepec 1948 3 4 5 -1 4
9 Los Cabos United 3 4 5 -1 3
10 Deportiva Venados 2 3 1 +2 4
11 Jaguares de Chiapas 3 3 5 -2 3
12 Lobos ULMX 2 2 4 -2 0
13 Tapachula 3 2 6 -4 3
14 Cordobés 3 2 6 -4 1
15 Chapulineros 3 2 7 -5 1
16 Tritons Vallarta 2 1 2 -1 1
17 H2O Purepechas 2 1 4 -3 1
18 Inter Playa del Carmen 2 0 6 -6 0
Primera Premier Mexico. Primera Premier Predictions