Statistics / Football / Iran. Azadegan League / Saipa vs Mes Soongoun

Saipa vs Mes Soongoun Statistics & Analysis

Saipa Saipa
Sep 16, 2026 - 14:00
2 1.44
0 1.16
xG Accuracy: 62%
Mes Soongoun Mes Soongoun
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Saipa Saipa ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 2-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 10, 2026 · 08:47 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7885948

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Saipa win · Saipa 2–0 Mes Soongoun
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Azadegan League
  • Fixture: Saipa vs Mes Soongoun
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-16 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.9% · Draw 29.3% · Away 28.8%
  • xG (showing): Saipa 1.44 — Mes Soongoun 1.16 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.0% · No 46.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.0% · No 46.0%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Azadegan League Azadegan League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Saipa 2 2 0 0 6
2 Fard Alborz 3 1 2 0 5
3 Be'sat Kermanshah 2 1 1 0 4
4 Naft Bandar Abbas 2 1 1 0 4
5 Naft Masjed Soleyman 2 1 0 1 3
6 Shahin Bandar Ameri 3 0 3 0 3
7 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 3 0 3 0 3
8 Niroye Zamini 2 1 0 1 3
9 Ario Eslamshahr 2 1 0 1 3
10 Mes Rafsanjan 2 0 2 0 2
11 Pars Jonoubi JAM 2 0 2 0 2
12 Novin Ahvaz 3 0 2 1 2
13 Mes Kerman 2 0 1 1 1
14 Naft Gachsaran 2 0 1 1 1
15 Mes Soongoun 2 0 1 1 1
16 Havadar 2 0 1 1 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Novin Ahvaz 3 4 5 -1 2
2 Saipa 2 3 0 +3 6
3 Be'sat Kermanshah 2 3 0 +3 4
4 Naft Masjed Soleyman 2 3 1 +2 3
5 Shahin Bandar Ameri 3 3 3 0 3
6 Fard Alborz 3 2 1 +1 5
7 Naft Bandar Abbas 2 2 1 +1 4
8 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 3 2 2 0 3
9 Niroye Zamini 2 1 1 0 3
10 Mes Kerman 2 1 2 -1 1
11 Ario Eslamshahr 2 1 3 -2 3
12 Mes Rafsanjan 2 0 0 0 2
13 Pars Jonoubi JAM 2 0 0 0 2
14 Naft Gachsaran 2 0 1 -1 1
15 Mes Soongoun 2 0 2 -2 1
16 Havadar 2 0 3 -3 1
Azadegan League Iran. Azadegan League Predictions