Statistics / Football / Iran. Azadegan League / Naft Bandar Abbas vs Shahin Bandar Ameri

Naft Bandar Abbas vs Shahin Bandar Ameri Statistics & Analysis

Naft Bandar Abbas Naft Bandar Abbas
Sep 15, 2026 - 16:00
1 1.34
1 1.26
xG Accuracy: 85%
Shahin Bandar Ameri Shahin Bandar Ameri
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Naft Bandar Abbas Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 09, 2026 · 02:23 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7702443

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Naft Bandar Abbas 1–1 Shahin Bandar Ameri
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Azadegan League
  • Fixture: Naft Bandar Abbas vs Shahin Bandar Ameri
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-15 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
  • xG (showing): Naft Bandar Abbas 1.34 — Shahin Bandar Ameri 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Azadegan League Azadegan League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Saipa 2 2 0 0 6
2 Fard Alborz 3 1 2 0 5
3 Be'sat Kermanshah 2 1 1 0 4
4 Naft Bandar Abbas 2 1 1 0 4
5 Naft Masjed Soleyman 2 1 0 1 3
6 Shahin Bandar Ameri 3 0 3 0 3
7 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 3 0 3 0 3
8 Niroye Zamini 2 1 0 1 3
9 Ario Eslamshahr 2 1 0 1 3
10 Mes Rafsanjan 2 0 2 0 2
11 Pars Jonoubi JAM 2 0 2 0 2
12 Novin Ahvaz 3 0 2 1 2
13 Mes Kerman 2 0 1 1 1
14 Naft Gachsaran 2 0 1 1 1
15 Mes Soongoun 2 0 1 1 1
16 Havadar 2 0 1 1 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Novin Ahvaz 3 4 5 -1 2
2 Saipa 2 3 0 +3 6
3 Be'sat Kermanshah 2 3 0 +3 4
4 Naft Masjed Soleyman 2 3 1 +2 3
5 Shahin Bandar Ameri 3 3 3 0 3
6 Fard Alborz 3 2 1 +1 5
7 Naft Bandar Abbas 2 2 1 +1 4
8 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 3 2 2 0 3
9 Niroye Zamini 2 1 1 0 3
10 Mes Kerman 2 1 2 -1 1
11 Ario Eslamshahr 2 1 3 -2 3
12 Mes Rafsanjan 2 0 0 0 2
13 Pars Jonoubi JAM 2 0 0 0 2
14 Naft Gachsaran 2 0 1 -1 1
15 Mes Soongoun 2 0 2 -2 1
16 Havadar 2 0 3 -3 1
Azadegan League Iran. Azadegan League Predictions