Statistics / Football / Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 / Buñol vs Eldense B

Buñol vs Eldense B Statistics & Analysis

Buñol Buñol
Sep 20, 2026 - 16:00
1 1.29
1 1.31
xG Accuracy: 85%
⚽
Eldense B
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Eldense B Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:26 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8690550

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Buñol 1–1 Eldense B
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Group 6
  • Fixture: Buñol vs Eldense B
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-20 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Buñol 1.29 — Eldense B 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 24, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Torrent 2 2 0 0 6
2 Villarreal III 2 2 0 0 6
3 Crevillente 3 1 2 0 5
4 Vall de Uxó 2 1 1 0 4
5 Hércules II 3 1 1 1 4
6 Acero 3 1 1 1 4
7 Buñol 2 1 1 0 4
8 Eldense B 2 1 1 0 4
9 Roda 3 1 1 1 4
10 Saguntino 2 1 0 1 3
11 Ontinyent 1931 2 1 0 1 3
12 SC Torrevieja 3 1 0 2 3
13 Utiel 2 0 2 0 2
14 Levante II 2 0 1 1 1
15 Atzeneta 2 0 1 1 1
16 Soneja 2 0 1 1 1
17 Jove Español 2 0 1 1 1
18 Torrellano 3 0 0 3 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Torrent 2 6 1 +5 6
2 Hércules II 3 6 5 +1 4
3 Villarreal III 2 5 1 +4 6
4 Crevillente 3 4 3 +1 5
5 Roda 3 4 4 0 4
6 Acero 3 3 2 +1 4
7 Vall de Uxó 2 2 0 +2 4
8 Buñol 2 2 1 +1 4
9 Saguntino 2 2 2 0 3
10 Ontinyent 1931 2 2 2 0 3
11 SC Torrevieja 3 2 5 -3 3
12 Soneja 2 2 5 -3 1
13 Jove Español 2 2 6 -4 1
14 Torrellano 3 2 6 -4 0
15 Eldense B 2 1 0 +1 4
16 Utiel 2 1 1 0 2
17 Levante II 2 1 2 -1 1
18 Atzeneta 2 1 2 -1 1
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 Predictions