Statistics / Football / Italy. Serie C - Girone B / Forli vs Torres

Forli vs Torres Statistics & Analysis

Forli Forli
Sep 19, 2026 - 12:30
1 1.26
1 1.34
xG Accuracy: 85%
Torres Torres
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Torres Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:26 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8668766

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Forli 1–1 Torres
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Serie C - Girone B
  • Fixture: Forli vs Torres
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 12:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
  • xG (showing): Forli 1.26 — Torres 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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Serie C - Girone B Serie C - Girone B — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Spezia 6 5 1 0 16
2 Ravenna 6 4 2 0 14
3 Reggiana 6 4 2 0 14
4 Grosseto 6 3 3 0 12
5 Livorno 6 3 2 1 11
6 Torres 6 3 1 2 10
7 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 6 2 3 1 9
8 Forli 6 2 3 1 9
9 Atalanta II 6 3 0 3 9
10 Città di Campobasso 6 2 2 2 8
11 Pescara 6 2 2 2 8
12 Pineto 6 1 4 1 7
13 Gubbio 6 2 1 3 7
14 Perugia 6 2 1 3 7
15 Ostia Mare 6 2 0 4 6
16 Latina 6 1 2 3 5
17 Vado 6 1 1 4 4
18 Pianese 6 0 3 3 3
19 Sambenedettese 6 0 2 4 2
20 Vis Pesaro 6 0 1 5 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Spezia 6 12 3 +9 16
2 Reggiana 6 12 5 +7 14
3 Forli 6 12 10 +2 9
4 Ravenna 6 10 2 +8 14
5 Grosseto 6 9 4 +5 12
6 Città di Campobasso 6 9 9 0 8
7 Gubbio 6 9 11 -2 7
8 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 6 8 5 +3 9
9 Torres 6 8 8 0 10
10 Pescara 6 8 9 -1 8
11 Livorno 6 7 6 +1 11
12 Ostia Mare 6 7 8 -1 6
13 Atalanta II 6 7 9 -2 9
14 Sambenedettese 6 7 11 -4 2
15 Pineto 6 6 6 0 7
16 Vis Pesaro 6 6 15 -9 1
17 Latina 6 5 8 -3 5
18 Vado 6 5 8 -3 4
19 Perugia 6 5 11 -6 7
20 Pianese 6 2 6 -4 3
Serie C - Girone B Italy. Serie C - Girone B Predictions