Statistics / Football / Germany. Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar / Wormatia Worms vs Auersmacher

Wormatia Worms vs Auersmacher Statistics & Analysis

Wormatia Worms Wormatia Worms
Aug 22, 2026 - 12:00
1 1.41
2 1.19
xG Accuracy: 72%
Auersmacher Auersmacher
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Wormatia Worms Auersmacher ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 0-0 1-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 16, 2026 · 01:30 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4219036

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Auersmacher win · Wormatia Worms 1–2 Auersmacher
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
  • Fixture: Wormatia Worms vs Auersmacher
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-22 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 40.5% · Draw 29.4% · Away 30.1%
  • xG (showing): Wormatia Worms 1.41 — Auersmacher 1.19 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Mechtersheim 8 6 0 2 18
2 Schott Mainz 7 5 2 0 17
3 TuS RW Koblenz 8 4 3 1 15
4 FV Engers 07 8 4 2 2 14
5 TuS Koblenz 8 4 2 2 14
6 FC Emmelshausen-Karbach 8 4 2 2 14
7 Gau-Odernheim 7 4 1 2 13
8 Pirmasens 8 4 1 3 13
9 Wormatia Worms 8 4 1 3 13
10 Gonsenheim 8 4 0 4 12
11 RW Wittlich 7 4 0 3 12
12 Auersmacher 8 4 0 4 12
13 Elversberg II 7 2 2 3 8
14 Hertha Wiesbach 8 2 2 4 8
15 Cosmos Koblenz 8 2 1 5 7
16 Diefflen 8 1 1 6 4
17 Ahrweiler 8 0 3 5 3
18 Eisbachtal 8 0 1 7 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 FV Engers 07 8 22 14 +8 14
2 Pirmasens 8 22 16 +6 13
3 Wormatia Worms 8 22 16 +6 13
4 Mechtersheim 8 21 14 +7 18
5 RW Wittlich 7 21 17 +4 12
6 Schott Mainz 7 20 7 +13 17
7 Gonsenheim 8 19 13 +6 12
8 Gau-Odernheim 7 17 10 +7 13
9 TuS RW Koblenz 8 17 11 +6 15
10 TuS Koblenz 8 15 11 +4 14
11 Cosmos Koblenz 8 14 15 -1 7
12 FC Emmelshausen-Karbach 8 14 17 -3 14
13 Auersmacher 8 13 14 -1 12
14 Hertha Wiesbach 8 12 19 -7 8
15 Diefflen 8 11 29 -18 4
16 Elversberg II 7 10 15 -5 8
17 Ahrweiler 8 6 15 -9 3
18 Eisbachtal 8 3 26 -23 1
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar Germany. Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar Predictions