Statistics / Football / England. Non League Premier - Southern South / Sholing vs Bath City

Sholing vs Bath City Statistics & Analysis

Sholing Sholing
Aug 08, 2026 - 14:00
1 1.38
2 1.22
xG Accuracy: 73%
Bath City Bath City
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Sholing Bath City ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 02, 2026 · 02:09 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2821893

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Bath City win · Sholing 1–2 Bath City
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Non League Premier - Southern South
  • Fixture: Sholing vs Bath City
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-08 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.5%
  • xG (showing): Sholing 1.38 — Bath City 1.22 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 44.0% · Probability edge: +7.8 pts · Est. EV: +11.9%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Non League Premier - Southern South Non League Premier - Southern South — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Plymouth Parkway 8 6 1 1 19
2 Uxbridge 8 5 2 1 17
3 Hanworth Villa 8 5 1 2 16
4 Chertsey Town 8 4 2 2 14
5 Bath City 8 4 2 2 14
6 Frome Town 8 4 1 3 13
7 Chichester City 8 4 1 3 13
8 Berkhamsted 9 4 1 4 13
9 Taunton Town 8 4 0 4 12
10 Poole Town 7 4 0 3 12
11 Gosport Borough 8 3 2 3 11
12 Yate Town 7 3 2 2 11
13 Evesham United 7 3 1 3 10
14 Bracknell Town 8 3 1 4 10
15 Wimborne Town 7 2 3 2 9
16 Basingstoke Town 8 2 3 3 9
17 Sholing 7 2 1 4 7
18 Chippenham Town 7 2 1 4 7
19 Hanwell Town 7 1 3 3 6
20 Gloucester City 8 1 3 4 6
21 Malvern Town 8 1 2 5 5
22 Havant & Wville 8 1 1 6 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Plymouth Parkway 8 22 7 +15 19
2 Taunton Town 8 21 20 +1 12
3 Chertsey Town 8 19 12 +7 14
4 Uxbridge 8 17 7 +10 17
5 Hanworth Villa 8 15 7 +8 16
6 Chichester City 8 13 14 -1 13
7 Basingstoke Town 8 13 14 -1 9
8 Frome Town 8 12 8 +4 13
9 Malvern Town 8 12 23 -11 5
10 Bath City 8 11 7 +4 14
11 Gosport Borough 8 11 9 +2 11
12 Berkhamsted 9 11 12 -1 13
13 Evesham United 7 11 14 -3 10
14 Gloucester City 8 11 16 -5 6
15 Yate Town 7 10 11 -1 11
16 Bracknell Town 8 10 17 -7 10
17 Poole Town 7 8 9 -1 12
18 Havant & Wville 8 8 15 -7 4
19 Sholing 7 7 12 -5 7
20 Chippenham Town 7 7 14 -7 7
21 Wimborne Town 7 6 4 +2 9
22 Hanwell Town 7 6 9 -3 6
Non League Premier - Southern South England. Non League Premier - Southern South Predictions