Statistics / Football / England. Non League Premier - Southern Central / Stratford Town vs Worcester City

Stratford Town vs Worcester City Statistics & Analysis

Stratford Town Stratford Town
Aug 08, 2026 - 14:00
1 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 85%
Worcester City Worcester City
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Stratford Town Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 02, 2026 · 02:08 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2821758

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Stratford Town 1–1 Worcester City
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Non League Premier - Southern Central
  • Fixture: Stratford Town vs Worcester City
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-08 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Stratford Town 1.32 — Worcester City 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +1.0%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Stratford Town & Worcester City!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Non League Premier - Southern Central Non League Premier - Southern Central — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Real Bedford 6 6 0 0 18
2 Bury Town 6 6 0 0 18
3 Alvechurch 6 5 0 1 15
4 Bromsgrove Sporting 6 5 0 1 15
5 Kettering Town 6 3 3 0 12
6 Rushall Olympic 6 4 0 2 12
7 Anstey Nomads 6 3 2 1 11
8 Leiston 6 2 2 2 8
9 Stourbridge 5 2 2 1 8
10 Needham Market 6 2 1 3 7
11 Redditch United 6 1 3 2 6
12 Peterborough Sports 6 1 3 2 6
13 Racing Club Warwick 6 1 3 2 6
14 Halesowen Town 5 2 0 3 6
15 Leighton Town 6 1 2 3 5
16 Worcester City 6 1 2 3 5
17 Leamington 6 1 2 3 5
18 Banbury United 6 1 2 3 5
19 Bishop's Stortford 6 1 1 4 4
20 Hitchin Town 6 0 3 3 3
21 Stratford Town 6 0 3 3 3
22 Stamford 6 0 0 6 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Real Bedford 6 20 6 +14 18
2 Bury Town 6 15 6 +9 18
3 Leiston 6 13 11 +2 8
4 Bromsgrove Sporting 6 12 5 +7 15
5 Alvechurch 6 11 2 +9 15
6 Rushall Olympic 6 11 7 +4 12
7 Anstey Nomads 6 10 5 +5 11
8 Kettering Town 6 9 2 +7 12
9 Needham Market 6 9 11 -2 7
10 Leighton Town 6 8 11 -3 5
11 Stourbridge 5 7 6 +1 8
12 Redditch United 6 7 8 -1 6
13 Peterborough Sports 6 7 9 -2 6
14 Leamington 6 6 10 -4 5
15 Banbury United 6 6 11 -5 5
16 Racing Club Warwick 6 5 7 -2 6
17 Worcester City 6 5 8 -3 5
18 Hitchin Town 6 5 10 -5 3
19 Stratford Town 6 4 12 -8 3
20 Halesowen Town 5 3 6 -3 6
21 Bishop's Stortford 6 3 10 -7 4
22 Stamford 6 1 14 -13 0
Non League Premier - Southern Central England. Non League Premier - Southern Central Predictions