Statistics / Football / Germany. Regionalliga - Bayern / Buchbach vs Eichstätt

Buchbach vs Eichstätt Statistics & Analysis

Buchbach Buchbach
Jul 31, 2026 - 17:00
5 1.24
1 1.36
xG Accuracy: 32%
Eichstätt Eichstätt
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Eichstätt Buchbach ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 5-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 03:47 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1674835

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Buchbach win · Buchbach 5–1 Eichstätt
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Regionalliga - Bayern
  • Fixture: Buchbach vs Eichstätt
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-31 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.0%
  • xG (showing): Buchbach 1.24 — Eichstätt 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 23, 2026 (UTC)

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Regionalliga - Bayern Regionalliga - Bayern — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Buchbach 9 7 2 0 23
2 Memmingen 10 6 3 1 21
3 TSV 1860 München 9 4 5 0 17
4 Illertissen 10 5 2 3 17
5 SpVgg Unterhaching 8 5 2 1 17
6 Eichstätt 10 5 2 3 17
7 Vilzing 9 4 3 2 15
8 Wacker Burghausen 10 4 2 4 14
9 Eltersdorf 9 3 3 3 12
10 Augsburg II 10 3 3 4 12
11 Bayern München II 9 3 2 4 11
12 FC Schweinfurt 05 10 3 2 5 11
13 Nürnberg II 9 3 1 5 10
14 Bayreuth 10 3 1 6 10
15 Schwaben Augsburg 10 2 3 5 9
16 Aubstadt 9 2 2 5 8
17 Greuther Fürth II 9 2 1 6 7
18 Landsberg 9 1 4 4 7
19 Ansbach 9 2 1 6 7
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Wacker Burghausen 10 24 18 +6 14
2 Buchbach 9 22 7 +15 23
3 TSV 1860 München 9 19 10 +9 17
4 Illertissen 10 17 12 +5 17
5 Nürnberg II 9 17 15 +2 10
6 Augsburg II 10 15 23 -8 12
7 FC Schweinfurt 05 10 15 23 -8 11
8 Vilzing 9 14 12 +2 15
9 Aubstadt 9 14 16 -2 8
10 Memmingen 10 13 6 +7 21
11 Eltersdorf 9 13 12 +1 12
12 Eichstätt 10 13 14 -1 17
13 Bayreuth 10 13 16 -3 10
14 Greuther Fürth II 9 12 16 -4 7
15 SpVgg Unterhaching 8 11 6 +5 17
16 Bayern München II 9 9 8 +1 11
17 Landsberg 9 9 14 -5 7
18 Schwaben Augsburg 10 8 18 -10 9
19 Ansbach 9 8 20 -12 7
Regionalliga - Bayern Germany. Regionalliga - Bayern Predictions