Statistics / Football / Switzerland. Super League / Grasshoppers vs FC Sion

Grasshoppers vs FC Sion Statistics & Analysis

Grasshoppers Grasshoppers
Sep 15, 2026 - 17:00
2 1.54
5 2.27
xG Accuracy: 42%
FC Sion FC Sion
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 FC Sion FC Sion ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-2, 1-1, 2-2, 1-3, 2-1 2-5 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 17, 2026 · 01:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4365658

Closing Odds 3.91
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result FC Sion win · Grasshoppers 2–5 FC Sion
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE30 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices Grasshoppers (1X2), Over 2.5 goals meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Over 2.5 goals by about 6.6 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market Model % Closing impl. % Gap (pp)
Grasshoppers (1X2) 24.7 23.4 +1.4
Draw (1X2) 22.7 24.7 -2.0
FC Sion (1X2) 52.6 51.9 +0.7
Over 2.5 goals 73.3 66.7 +6.6
Under 2.5 goals 26.7 33.3 -6.6
What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 73.3% on Over 2.5 goals, while the closing snapshot implied about 66.7%. The difference — about 6.6 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table
Market Early (PRE30) Closing (PRE1) Implied Δ (pp)
Grasshoppers (1X2) 4.13 4.13 0.0
Draw (1X2) 3.91 3.91 0.0
FC Sion (1X2) 1.86 1.86 0.0
Over 2.5 goals 1.44 1.44 0.0
Under 2.5 goals 2.89 2.89 0.0

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Super League
  • Fixture: Grasshoppers vs FC Sion
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-15 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 24.7% · Draw 22.7% · Away 52.6%
  • xG (showing): Grasshoppers 1.54 — FC Sion 2.27 (total xG ≈ 3.81)
  • Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 73.3% · Implied: 67.2% · Probability edge: +6.1 pts · Est. EV: +5.5%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Super League Super League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 FC Lugano 7 6 1 0 19
2 BSC Young Boys 8 4 4 0 16
3 FC Sion 7 5 0 2 15
4 FC Basel 1893 7 3 1 3 10
5 FC ST. Gallen 7 3 1 3 10
6 FC Luzern 7 2 3 2 9
7 Grasshoppers 7 2 2 3 8
8 FC Thun 7 2 1 4 7
9 FC Zurich 7 2 1 4 7
10 FC Vaduz 7 2 0 5 6
11 Lausanne 7 1 3 3 6
12 Servette FC 6 1 1 4 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 BSC Young Boys 8 28 16 +12 16
2 FC Lugano 7 19 6 +13 19
3 FC Sion 7 17 11 +6 15
4 FC Vaduz 7 16 17 -1 6
5 FC Basel 1893 7 12 12 0 10
6 FC ST. Gallen 7 12 14 -2 10
7 FC Thun 7 11 18 -7 7
8 FC Zurich 7 11 18 -7 7
9 FC Luzern 7 10 13 -3 9
10 Grasshoppers 7 10 14 -4 8
11 Lausanne 7 7 10 -3 6
12 Servette FC 6 4 8 -4 4
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 FC ST. Gallen 7 13.1 8.8 +4.3 10
2 FC Sion 7 12.0 7.9 +4.1 15
3 BSC Young Boys 8 10.9 6.8 +4.1 16
4 FC Lugano 7 9.0 5.6 +3.4 19
5 Servette FC 6 7.0 6.7 +0.3 4
6 FC Basel 1893 7 7.0 6.8 +0.2 10
7 Grasshoppers 7 8.8 9.1 -0.3 8
8 Lausanne 7 4.3 5.8 -1.5 6
9 FC Zurich 7 6.4 8.3 -1.9 7
10 FC Luzern 7 6.7 9.7 -3.0 9
11 FC Vaduz 7 8.4 12.1 -3.7 6
12 FC Thun 7 6.7 12.7 -6.0 7
Super League Switzerland. Super League Predictions