Statistics / Football / Sweden. Elitettan / Umeå vs Linköping

Umeå vs Linköping Statistics & Analysis

Umeå Umeå
Jun 14, 2026 - 11:00
1 1.40
2 1.20
xG Accuracy: 72%
Linköping Linköping
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Umeå Linköping ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 16:33 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1475132

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Linköping win · Umeå 1–2 Linköping
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Elitettan
  • Fixture: Umeå vs Linköping
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-14 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 40.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 30.6%
  • xG (showing): Umeå 1.4 — Linköping 1.2 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 43.6% · Probability edge: +8.2 pts · Est. EV: +7.7%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 25, 2026 (UTC)

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Elitettan Elitettan — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Elfsborg 19 13 5 1 44
2 Linköping 19 13 3 3 42
3 Göteborg 19 12 5 2 41
4 KIF Örebro 19 13 2 4 41
5 Umeå 19 9 4 6 31
6 Trelleborg W 19 8 5 6 29
7 Husqvarna W 19 7 4 8 25
8 Jitex W 19 6 5 8 23
9 Örebro Söder W 19 5 5 9 20
10 Alingsås W 19 4 7 8 19
11 Enskede W 19 5 4 10 19
12 Gamla Upsala W 19 4 5 10 17
13 Sandviken W 19 2 5 12 11
14 Häcken II 19 2 1 16 7
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Göteborg 19 49 22 +27 41
2 KIF Örebro 19 41 24 +17 41
3 Linköping 19 38 24 +14 42
4 Elfsborg 19 36 9 +27 44
5 Umeå 19 33 23 +10 31
6 Trelleborg W 19 27 27 0 29
7 Husqvarna W 19 27 30 -3 25
8 Enskede W 19 26 36 -10 19
9 Jitex W 19 24 27 -3 23
10 Örebro Söder W 19 21 30 -9 20
11 Gamla Upsala W 19 21 32 -11 17
12 Sandviken W 19 19 47 -28 11
13 Häcken II 19 18 40 -22 7
14 Alingsås W 19 17 26 -9 19
Elitettan Sweden. Elitettan Predictions