Statistics / Football / Norway. 3. Division - Girone 5 / Alta vs Strømsgodset II

Alta vs Strømsgodset II Statistics & Analysis

Alta Alta
Sep 21, 2026 - 16:00
2 1.32
0 1.28
xG Accuracy: 58%
Strømsgodset II Strømsgodset II
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Alta Alta ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 15, 2026 · 02:48 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8839354

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Alta win · Alta 2–0 Strømsgodset II
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 3. Division - Girone 5
  • Fixture: Alta vs Strømsgodset II
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-21 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Alta 1.32 — Strømsgodset II 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 25, 2026 (UTC)

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3. Division - Girone 5 3. Division - Girone 5 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Skedsmo 20 15 1 4 46
2 Harstad 20 12 3 5 39
3 Fløya 19 10 3 6 33
4 Alta 19 9 6 4 33
5 Finnsnes 19 10 2 7 32
6 Fauske Sprint 19 8 4 7 28
7 Lillestrøm II 19 9 0 10 27
8 Skjetten 19 8 3 8 27
9 Skjervøy 19 7 3 9 24
10 Strømsgodset II 19 7 2 10 23
11 Kongsvinger II 19 7 2 10 23
12 Bossekop 20 5 4 11 19
13 Tromsø II 19 4 5 10 17
14 Ulfstind 20 4 2 14 14
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Harstad 20 66 31 +35 39
2 Lillestrøm II 19 63 41 +22 27
3 Fauske Sprint 19 54 63 -9 28
4 Fløya 19 49 30 +19 33
5 Alta 19 44 28 +16 33
6 Skedsmo 20 43 25 +18 46
7 Skjetten 19 43 41 +2 27
8 Strømsgodset II 19 39 42 -3 23
9 Finnsnes 19 36 31 +5 32
10 Kongsvinger II 19 36 51 -15 23
11 Ulfstind 20 36 70 -34 14
12 Bossekop 20 34 67 -33 19
13 Skjervøy 19 32 48 -16 24
14 Tromsø II 19 31 38 -7 17
3. Division - Girone 5 Norway. 3. Division - Girone 5 Predictions