Statistics / Football / Norway. 3. Division - Girone 4 / Hinna vs Åkra

Hinna vs Åkra Statistics & Analysis

Hinna Hinna
Sep 19, 2026 - 12:00
2 1.32
2 1.28
xG Accuracy: 68%
Åkra Åkra
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Hinna Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8663097

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Hinna 2–2 Åkra
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 3. Division - Girone 4
  • Fixture: Hinna vs Åkra
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Hinna 1.32 — Åkra 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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3. Division - Girone 4 3. Division - Girone 4 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Madla 20 12 6 2 42
2 Mandalskameratene 20 11 4 5 37
3 Varhaug 21 10 6 5 36
4 Vindbjart 20 11 2 7 35
5 Flekkerøy 20 10 3 7 33
6 Viking II 20 9 5 6 32
7 Brodd 20 8 3 9 27
8 Stabæk II 20 8 3 9 27
9 Våg 20 7 2 11 23
10 Odd II 20 6 5 9 23
11 Staal Jørpeland 21 6 5 10 23
12 Haugesund II 20 6 4 10 22
13 Hinna 20 5 5 10 20
14 Åkra 20 4 3 13 15
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Madla 20 51 26 +25 42
2 Viking II 20 50 28 +22 32
3 Vindbjart 20 47 24 +23 35
4 Mandalskameratene 20 46 33 +13 37
5 Stabæk II 20 42 46 -4 27
6 Flekkerøy 20 41 34 +7 33
7 Staal Jørpeland 21 41 52 -11 23
8 Varhaug 21 40 30 +10 36
9 Brodd 20 39 40 -1 27
10 Haugesund II 20 37 55 -18 22
11 Odd II 20 36 45 -9 23
12 Hinna 20 36 57 -21 20
13 Våg 20 29 36 -7 23
14 Åkra 20 27 56 -29 15
3. Division - Girone 4 Norway. 3. Division - Girone 4 Predictions