Statistics / Football / Norway. 3. Division - Girone 3 / Austevoll vs Askøy

Austevoll vs Askøy Statistics & Analysis

⚽
Austevoll
Sep 19, 2026 - 13:00
1 1.32
3 1.28
xG Accuracy: 57%
Askøy Askøy
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Austevoll Askøy ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:29 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8669825

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Askøy win · Austevoll 1–3 Askøy
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 3. Division - Girone 3
  • Fixture: Austevoll vs Askøy
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Austevoll 1.32 — Askøy 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 24, 2026 (UTC)

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3. Division - Girone 3 3. Division - Girone 3 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Os 20 16 0 4 48
2 Askøy 20 12 6 2 42
3 Djerv 20 12 5 3 41
4 Fana 20 11 2 7 35
5 Brann II 20 9 6 5 33
6 Vard 20 9 5 6 32
7 Sogndal II 20 8 3 9 27
8 Austevoll 20 7 6 7 27
9 Førde 20 8 3 9 27
10 Åsane II 20 4 6 10 18
11 Stord 20 3 9 8 18
12 Gneist 20 5 3 12 18
13 Varegg 20 4 5 11 17
14 Fyllingsdalen 20 1 3 16 6
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Os 20 72 35 +37 48
2 Fana 20 54 40 +14 35
3 Sogndal II 20 53 41 +12 27
4 Vard 20 52 38 +14 32
5 Djerv 20 51 29 +22 41
6 Brann II 20 49 39 +10 33
7 Askøy 20 39 22 +17 42
8 Austevoll 20 38 47 -9 27
9 Stord 20 38 56 -18 18
10 Gneist 20 36 56 -20 18
11 Åsane II 20 34 45 -11 18
12 Førde 20 33 44 -11 27
13 Varegg 20 29 40 -11 17
14 Fyllingsdalen 20 16 62 -46 6
3. Division - Girone 3 Norway. 3. Division - Girone 3 Predictions