Statistics / Football / Norway. 3. Division - Girone 2 / Volda vs Strindheim

Volda vs Strindheim Statistics & Analysis

Volda Volda
Sep 19, 2026 - 14:00
2 1.39
2 1.21
xG Accuracy: 68%
Strindheim Strindheim
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Volda Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:54 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8679232

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Volda 2–2 Strindheim
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 3. Division - Girone 2
  • Fixture: Volda vs Strindheim
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
  • xG (showing): Volda 1.39 — Strindheim 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 24, 2026 (UTC)

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3. Division - Girone 2 3. Division - Girone 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Volda 20 13 4 3 43
2 Strindheim 20 12 4 4 40
3 Melhus 19 10 5 4 35
4 Byåsen 20 9 4 7 31
5 Herd 20 8 4 8 28
6 Molde II 19 7 5 7 26
7 Rosenborg II 19 7 4 8 25
8 Spjelkavik 19 7 4 8 25
9 Ranheim II 19 6 5 8 23
10 NTNUI 20 5 7 8 22
11 Kvik Trondheim 20 6 3 11 21
12 Nardo 18 6 2 10 20
13 Orkla 19 5 4 10 19
14 Aalesund II 18 6 1 11 19
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Molde II 19 54 57 -3 26
2 Volda 20 52 22 +30 43
3 Ranheim II 19 51 62 -11 23
4 Melhus 19 48 25 +23 35
5 Strindheim 20 47 30 +17 40
6 Herd 20 45 38 +7 28
7 Byåsen 20 44 39 +5 31
8 Rosenborg II 19 38 35 +3 25
9 Spjelkavik 19 38 39 -1 25
10 Nardo 18 38 42 -4 20
11 Orkla 19 37 53 -16 19
12 Aalesund II 18 34 50 -16 19
13 Kvik Trondheim 20 31 52 -21 21
14 NTNUI 20 29 42 -13 22
3. Division - Girone 2 Norway. 3. Division - Girone 2 Predictions