Hlinsko vs Spartak Police n/Metují Statistics & Analysis

Hlinsko

May 30, 2026 - 08:30

2 1.45

2 1.25

xG Accuracy: 70%

Spartak Police n/Metují

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Hlinsko Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 2-2, 3-1 2-2 ✔ Correct

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: 4. liga - Divizie C
Fixture: Hlinsko vs Spartak Police n/Metují
Kickoff: 2026-05-30 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Hlinsko 1.45 — Spartak Police n/Metují 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): BTTS No
Model: 43.6% · Implied: 32.1% · Probability edge: +11.5 pts · Est. EV: +26.4%
BTTS (model): Yes 56.4% · No 43.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (8.3%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Best Bet + Reason

The engine’s headline primary is: BTTS No.

If 1X2 looks tight, the engine may still find clearer structure in totals or BTTS — that is intentional.

No pick is a guarantee; variance is especially large in scoreline markets.

FAQ

What changes first if odds move?

Implied probabilities and EV move immediately with price; model probabilities in this snapshot do not update until the pipeline is re-run. Refresh after material line moves.

Who has the edge in the match-winner market?

Use the 1X2 model percentages in the summary and the 1X2 market card: the side with the highest model % is the model lean, but check EV — a lean can still be -EV after prices.

Safer market than correct score?

Markets with more liquidity and smoother prices (often 1X2 or O/U 2.5 from many books) are usually easier to reason about than long-tail correct-score prices; still read EV on each leg.

What is the best-supported line in this snapshot?

Match the hero card above: if it says “Betting Primary Pick”, that leg cleared primary rules; if it says “Best +EV (tracked markets)”, it is the strongest +EV line that did not meet stricter Primary thresholds. The bullets below repeat the same model %, implied %, edge (pts), and EV % as that card.

Risk Factors

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Methodology

Inputs: Same structured facts bundle as the public prediction page (xG / Poisson snapshot, market EV where available, decision engine v2).
Compliance: Educational framing only; not personalised advice.

Last Updated

June 06, 2026 (UTC)

How to use this

Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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Back to Statistics

4. liga - Divizie C — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Čáslav	28	20	3	5	63
2	Horní Ředice	28	18	2	8	56
3	Vysoké Mýto	28	16	7	5	55
4	Přepeře	28	16	3	8	52
5	Turnov	28	15	5	8	50
6	Kosmonosy	28	14	6	8	48
7	Trutnov	28	13	5	10	44
8	Chlumec nad Cidlinou	28	12	4	12	40
9	Spartak Police n/Metují	27	10	8	10	38
10	Hlinsko	27	11	3	13	36
11	Brandýs nad Labem	28	7	12	9	33
12	Chrudim II	28	8	6	14	30
13	Svitavy	28	7	7	14	28
14	Slovan Hrádek nad Nisou	28	6	5	17	23
15	Náchod	28	4	5	19	17
16	Dobrovice	28	4	4	20	16

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Čáslav	28	71	31	+40	63
2	Horní Ředice	28	69	39	+30	56
3	Turnov	28	64	51	+13	50
4	Trutnov	28	59	52	+7	44
5	Hlinsko	27	59	58	+1	36
6	Kosmonosy	28	58	39	+19	48
7	Přepeře	28	54	35	+19	52
8	Vysoké Mýto	28	50	23	+27	55
9	Náchod	28	42	67	-25	17
10	Chlumec nad Cidlinou	28	41	39	+2	40
11	Brandýs nad Labem	28	40	50	-10	33
12	Chrudim II	28	38	53	-15	30
13	Svitavy	28	38	65	-27	28
14	Spartak Police n/Metují	27	37	46	-9	38
15	Dobrovice	28	27	74	-47	16
16	Slovan Hrádek nad Nisou	28	25	47	-22	23