Hlučín vs Vsetín Statistics & Analysis

Hlučín

Jun 04, 2026 - 16:30

1 1.49

0 1.62

xG Accuracy: 56%

Vsetín

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Vsetín Hlučín ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 0-1, 1-0 1-0 ✔ Correct

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 3. liga - MSFL
Fixture: Hlučín vs Vsetín
Kickoff: 2026-06-07 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 33.9% · Draw 26.5% · Away 39.6%
xG (showing): Hlučín 1.49 — Vsetín 1.62 (total xG ≈ 3.11)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 39.9% · Over 2.5 60.1%); BTTS Yes (Yes 63.5% · No 36.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 63.5% · No 36.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (10.8%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Best Bet + Reason

No bankroll-sized bet is implied here.

When 1X2 is tight, prices often already embed the uncertainty — all three legs can be −EV, or show only small +EV that still fails the headline threshold — respect that when sizing.

Correct-score markets remain high-variance even when one scoreline leads the table.

FAQ

Is the most likely correct score still relevant?

As context only: it is still a low absolute probability tail outcome (often in the single digits, sometimes low teens). It does not override the “no headline +EV” stance — treat score bets as fun-sized if you play them at all.

Should I still read the 1X2 card?

Yes — it shows whether any winner price clears value. Here it often explains why there is no headline: probabilities can be clustered while prices already embed that uncertainty.

What do the grey “lean” labels mean then?

They summarise where the model tilts (e.g. Under 2.5 or BTTS No) without claiming a positive economic edge. Use them as context; size to zero unless you deliberately accept discretionary risk.

Why is there no “best bet” on this page?

The headline engine uses a minimum +EV threshold (e.g. 2%) for a default pick. A line can still show tiny +EV that fails that bar — we still call it no default bet so readers do not over-size thin edges.

Risk Factors

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Methodology

Inputs: Same structured facts bundle as the public prediction page (xG / Poisson snapshot, market EV where available, decision engine v2).
Compliance: Educational framing only; not personalised advice.

Last Updated

June 10, 2026 (UTC)

How to use this

Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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3. liga - MSFL — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Třinec	33	23	7	3	76
2	Hodonín	33	21	7	5	70
3	Zbrojovka Brno II	33	19	4	10	61
4	Uničov	33	17	11	6	61
5	Sigma Olomouc II	33	18	6	10	59
6	Frýdek-Místek	33	16	10	7	58
7	Vrchovina	33	16	7	10	55
8	Unie Hlubina	33	13	8	12	47
9	Vsetín	33	13	6	14	45
10	Zlín II	33	10	10	13	40
11	Vítkovice	33	11	7	15	40
12	Slovácko II	33	9	11	13	38
13	Polanka nad Odrou	33	9	8	16	35
14	Hranice	33	7	9	17	30
15	Blansko	33	9	3	21	30
16	Karviná II	33	7	8	18	29
17	Hlučín	33	6	7	20	25
18	Start Brno	33	4	12	18	24

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Hodonín	33	75	36	+39	70
2	Třinec	33	74	24	+50	76
3	Sigma Olomouc II	33	68	32	+36	59
4	Zbrojovka Brno II	33	67	46	+21	61
5	Vrchovina	33	63	49	+14	55
6	Zlín II	33	55	64	-9	40
7	Frýdek-Místek	33	52	37	+15	58
8	Uničov	33	52	41	+11	61
9	Unie Hlubina	33	51	47	+4	47
10	Vsetín	33	51	52	-1	45
11	Slovácko II	33	48	54	-6	38
12	Vítkovice	33	46	55	-9	40
13	Blansko	33	44	77	-33	30
14	Hlučín	33	39	72	-33	25
15	Karviná II	33	38	59	-21	29
16	Hranice	33	37	58	-21	30
17	Polanka nad Odrou	33	37	60	-23	35
18	Start Brno	33	32	66	-34	24