Hodonín vs Uničov Statistics & Analysis

Hodonín

May 23, 2026 - 15:00

3 1.45

1 1.25

xG Accuracy: 61%

Uničov

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Hodonín Hodonín ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 2-0, 1-2 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 3. liga - MSFL
Fixture: Hodonín vs Uničov
Kickoff: 2026-05-24 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Hodonín 1.45 — Uničov 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): BTTS Yes
Model: 71.7% · Implied: 55.9% · Probability edge: +15.8 pts · Est. EV: +22.6%
BTTS (model): Yes 71.7% · No 28.3%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (10.9%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Best Bet + Reason

Primary angle highlighted on the page: BTTS Yes.

If 1X2 looks tight, the engine may still find clearer structure in totals or BTTS — that is intentional.

Edges shrink quickly if prices move; always re-check the number on your book.

FAQ

What changes first if odds move?

Implied probabilities and EV move immediately with price; model probabilities in this snapshot do not update until the pipeline is re-run. Refresh after material line moves.

Is the most likely correct score a good bet?

Usually no as a standalone bet: the “most likely” scoreline is still a low absolute probability tail event (often single digits, sometimes low teens). Use it as context; keep any correct-score stake in the “fun / small” bucket.

What is the best-supported line in this snapshot?

Match the hero card above: if it says “Betting Primary Pick”, that leg cleared primary rules; if it says “Best +EV (tracked markets)”, it is the strongest +EV line that did not meet stricter Primary thresholds. The bullets below repeat the same model %, implied %, edge (pts), and EV % as that card.

Safer market than correct score?

Markets with more liquidity and smoother prices (often 1X2 or O/U 2.5 from many books) are usually easier to reason about than long-tail correct-score prices; still read EV on each leg.

Risk Factors

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Methodology

Inputs: Same structured facts bundle as the public prediction page (xG / Poisson snapshot, market EV where available, decision engine v2).
Compliance: Educational framing only; not personalised advice.

Last Updated

June 06, 2026 (UTC)

How to use this

Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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3. liga - MSFL — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Třinec	32	22	7	3	73
2	Hodonín	32	21	7	4	70
3	Zbrojovka Brno II	32	19	4	9	61
4	Sigma Olomouc II	33	18	6	10	59
5	Uničov	32	16	11	6	58
6	Frýdek-Místek	32	16	9	7	57
7	Vrchovina	32	15	7	10	52
8	Unie Hlubina	32	13	8	11	47
9	Vsetín	33	13	6	14	45
10	Zlín II	32	10	10	11	40
11	Slovácko II	32	9	10	13	37
12	Vítkovice	32	10	7	15	37
13	Polanka nad Odrou	32	8	8	16	32
14	Hranice	33	7	9	17	30
15	Blansko	32	9	3	20	30
16	Karviná II	32	7	8	18	26
17	Hlučín	33	6	7	20	25
18	Start Brno	32	4	12	17	24

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Hodonín	32	74	34	+40	70
2	Třinec	32	69	24	+45	73
3	Sigma Olomouc II	33	68	32	+36	59
4	Zbrojovka Brno II	32	67	44	+23	61
5	Vrchovina	32	60	47	+13	52
6	Zlín II	32	53	61	-8	40
7	Vsetín	33	51	52	-1	45
8	Frýdek-Místek	32	50	35	+15	57
9	Uničov	32	50	40	+10	58
10	Unie Hlubina	32	50	45	+5	47
11	Slovácko II	32	46	52	-6	37
12	Vítkovice	32	44	54	-10	37
13	Blansko	32	44	72	-28	30
14	Hlučín	33	39	72	-33	25
15	Hranice	33	37	58	-21	30
16	Karviná II	32	36	59	-23	26
17	Polanka nad Odrou	32	36	60	-24	32
18	Start Brno	32	32	65	-33	24