Statistics / Football / Turkey. Süper Lig / Trabzonspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Trabzonspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. Statistics & Analysis

Trabzonspor Trabzonspor
May 17, 2026 - 17:00
0 1.88
3 0.80
xG Accuracy: 33%
Gençlerbirliği S.K. Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Premium betting site 1xbet: New users can use the promo code 1x_3342271 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Trabzonspor Gençlerbirliği S.K. ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-0 0-3 ✖ Incorrect

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Süper Lig
  • Fixture: Trabzonspor vs Genclerbirligi
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-17 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 61.6% · Draw 24.4% · Away 14.0%
  • xG (showing): Trabzonspor 1.88 — Genclerbirligi 0.8 (total xG ≈ 2.68)
  • Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): BTTS No
  • Model: 52.0% · Implied: 40.0% · Probability edge: +12.0 pts · Est. EV: +27.4%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 48.0% · No 52.0%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-0 (12.9%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Best Bet + Reason

Primary angle highlighted on the page: BTTS No.

We separate probability edge (model minus implied, in points of probability) from estimated EV (economic edge at the best price shown on the page).

When several markets sit near +EV, keep stakes small — correlation means edges do not add cleanly.

FAQ

What changes first if odds move?

Implied probabilities and EV move immediately with price; model probabilities in this snapshot do not update until the pipeline is re-run. Refresh after material line moves.

Who has the edge in the match-winner market?

Use the 1X2 model percentages in the summary and the 1X2 market card: the side with the highest model % is the model lean, but check EV — a lean can still be -EV after prices.

Why might 1X2 look unattractive while totals do not?

Tight 1X2 prices often embed a fair three-way split, so EV on match-winner can sit negative even when Over/Under or BTTS still diverges from the model — compare the 1X2 row on the market cards to O/U and BTTS.

Is the most likely correct score a good bet?

Usually no as a standalone bet: the “most likely” scoreline is still a low absolute probability tail event (often single digits, sometimes low teens). Use it as context; keep any correct-score stake in the “fun / small” bucket.

Risk Factors

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Methodology

  • Inputs: Same structured facts bundle as the public prediction page (xG / Poisson snapshot, market EV where available, decision engine v2).
  • Compliance: Educational framing only; not personalised advice.

Last Updated

May 19, 2026 (UTC)

How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

Get Premium Predictions for Trabzonspor & Gençlerbirliği S.K.!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Süper Lig Süper Lig — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Galatasaray 33 24 5 4 77
2 Fenerbahçe 33 21 10 2 73
3 Trabzonspor 33 20 9 4 69
4 Beşiktaş 34 17 9 8 60
5 Göztepe 33 14 13 6 55
6 Başakşehir 33 15 9 9 54
7 Samsunspor 33 12 12 9 48
8 Rizespor 34 10 11 13 41
9 Konyaspor 33 10 10 13 40
10 Kocaelispor 33 9 10 14 37
11 Alanyaspor 33 7 16 10 37
12 Gaziantep FK 33 9 10 14 37
13 Eyüpspor 33 8 8 17 32
14 Kasımpaşa 33 7 11 15 32
15 Gençlerbirliği S.K. 33 8 7 18 31
16 Antalyaspor 33 7 8 18 29
17 Kayserispor 33 5 12 16 27
18 Fatih Karagümrük 33 7 6 20 27
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Galatasaray 33 77 29 +48 77
2 Fenerbahçe 33 74 34 +40 73
3 Trabzonspor 33 61 36 +25 69
4 Beşiktaş 34 59 40 +19 60
5 Başakşehir 33 56 34 +22 54
6 Rizespor 34 46 52 -6 41
7 Samsunspor 33 43 45 -2 48
8 Göztepe 33 42 29 +13 55
9 Konyaspor 33 42 48 -6 40
10 Gaziantep FK 33 42 56 -14 37
11 Alanyaspor 33 40 39 +1 37
12 Gençlerbirliği S.K. 33 33 47 -14 31
13 Kasımpaşa 33 32 49 -17 32
14 Antalyaspor 33 32 55 -23 29
15 Eyüpspor 33 30 45 -15 32
16 Fatih Karagümrük 33 29 53 -24 27
17 Kocaelispor 33 26 37 -11 37
18 Kayserispor 33 25 61 -36 27
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Galatasaray 33 68.5 32.7 +35.8 77
2 Fenerbahçe 33 65.0 30.1 +34.9 73
3 Beşiktaş 34 62.6 36.8 +25.8 60
4 Başakşehir 33 53.5 42.7 +10.8 54
5 Göztepe 33 46.6 35.8 +10.8 55
6 Trabzonspor 33 50.4 43.9 +6.5 69
7 Samsunspor 33 43.1 38.9 +4.2 48
8 Rizespor 34 45.3 45.5 -0.2 41
9 Kocaelispor 33 30.1 33.2 -3.1 37
10 Konyaspor 33 44.0 47.4 -3.4 40
11 Gaziantep FK 33 44.4 50.8 -6.4 37
12 Alanyaspor 33 34.6 44.1 -9.5 37
13 Kayserispor 33 37.9 51.7 -13.8 27
14 Kasımpaşa 33 29.2 43.8 -14.6 32
15 Fatih Karagümrük 33 33.2 48.0 -14.8 27
16 Gençlerbirliği S.K. 33 34.9 51.4 -16.5 31
17 Eyüpspor 33 34.4 53.3 -18.9 32
18 Antalyaspor 33 27.8 55.2 -27.4 29
Popular Leagues