Cultural Leonesa vs Eibar Statistics & Analysis

Cultural Leonesa

May 16, 2026 - 14:15

2 1.15

1 1.36

xG Accuracy: 72%

Eibar

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Eibar Cultural Leonesa ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1 2-1 ✖ Incorrect

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Segunda División
Fixture: Cultural Leonesa vs Eibar
Kickoff: 2026-05-17 16:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 29.9% · Draw 30.0% · Away 40.0%
xG (showing): Cultural Leonesa 1.15 — Eibar 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.51)
Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 54.1% · Over 2.5 45.9%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.4% · No 47.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 52.4% · No 47.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.7%)

The decision block shows no default bet: no tracked line clears the headline minimum +EV threshold at the best prices we have (a leg can still show small +EV below that bar). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Best Bet + Reason

Skip unless odds move — the engine sees no line clearing the +EV gate.

The cards may still show value leans (e.g. a preferred Under or a BTTS side) where prices are inefficient or incomplete — that is not the same as a positive-EV ticket at the configured threshold.

Re-check after material price moves; edges appear and disappear with liquidity.

FAQ

What do the grey “lean” labels mean then?

They summarise where the model tilts (e.g. Under 2.5 or BTTS No) without claiming a positive economic edge. Use them as context; size to zero unless you deliberately accept discretionary risk.

When would a headline +EV return?

When odds move enough that implied probabilities drop relative to the same model snapshot, or when more book prices arrive so EV can be computed reliably — then re-run the pipeline.

Should I still read the 1X2 card?

Yes — it shows whether any winner price clears value. Here it often explains why there is no headline: probabilities can be clustered while prices already embed that uncertainty.

Why is there no “best bet” on this page?

The headline engine uses a minimum +EV threshold (e.g. 2%) for a default pick. A line can still show tiny +EV that fails that bar — we still call it no default bet so readers do not over-size thin edges.

Risk Factors

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Methodology

Inputs: Same structured facts bundle as the public prediction page (xG / Poisson snapshot, market EV where available, decision engine v2).
Compliance: Educational framing only; not personalised advice.

Last Updated

May 19, 2026 (UTC)

How to use this

Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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Back to Statistics

Segunda División — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Racing Santander	40	24	6	10	78
2	Deportivo La Coruna	40	21	11	8	74
3	Almeria	40	21	8	11	71
4	Malaga	40	20	9	11	69
5	Las Palmas	40	19	12	9	69
6	Castellón	40	18	12	10	66
7	Burgos	40	18	12	10	66
8	Eibar	40	18	10	12	64
9	Cordoba	40	17	9	14	60
10	FC Andorra	40	16	10	14	58
11	Albacete	40	15	11	14	56
12	Sporting Gijon	40	16	7	17	55
13	AD Ceuta FC	40	15	10	15	55
14	Granada CF	40	12	12	16	48
15	Real Sociedad II	40	12	10	18	46
16	Valladolid	40	12	10	18	46
17	Leganes	39	10	12	17	42
18	Cadiz	40	10	10	20	40
19	Mirandes	40	9	10	21	37
20	Huesca	39	9	9	21	36
21	Cultural Leonesa	40	9	9	22	36
22	Zaragoza	40	8	11	21	35

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Racing Santander	40	85	59	+26	78
2	Almeria	40	79	60	+19	71
3	Malaga	40	72	51	+21	69
4	Castellón	40	67	50	+17	66
5	Deportivo La Coruna	40	62	42	+20	74
6	FC Andorra	40	62	51	+11	58
7	Cordoba	40	56	58	-2	60
8	Sporting Gijon	40	55	52	+3	55
9	Las Palmas	40	54	38	+16	69
10	Albacete	40	53	53	0	56
11	Real Sociedad II	40	50	57	-7	46
12	Eibar	40	49	38	+11	64
13	Granada CF	40	48	51	-3	48
14	AD Ceuta FC	40	48	63	-15	55
15	Burgos	40	45	33	+12	66
16	Valladolid	40	44	54	-10	46
17	Mirandes	40	44	67	-23	37
18	Leganes	39	42	48	-6	42
19	Huesca	39	40	61	-21	36
20	Cultural Leonesa	40	38	65	-27	36
21	Cadiz	40	37	57	-20	40
22	Zaragoza	40	34	56	-22	35

#	TEAM	MP	xG	xGC	+/-	PTS
1	Castellón	40	41.1	29.0	+12.1	66
2	Valladolid	40	34.2	23.6	+10.6	46
3	Cordoba	40	39.1	32.6	+6.5	60
4	Eibar	40	38.5	32.4	+6.1	64
5	Racing Santander	40	36.6	32.0	+4.6	78
6	Burgos	40	32.1	27.9	+4.2	66
7	Malaga	40	36.9	33.4	+3.5	69
8	Granada CF	40	32.0	29.2	+2.8	48
9	Las Palmas	40	22.9	20.6	+2.3	69
10	Deportivo La Coruna	40	30.2	28.3	+1.9	74
11	Albacete	40	35.2	33.7	+1.5	56
12	Sporting Gijon	40	30.8	29.4	+1.4	55
13	Almeria	40	32.7	31.4	+1.3	71
14	Zaragoza	40	30.6	30.5	+0.1	35
15	Leganes	39	34.1	35.4	-1.3	42
16	FC Andorra	40	31.8	33.5	-1.7	58
17	Huesca	39	27.3	29.6	-2.3	36
18	Real Sociedad II	40	30.7	38.6	-7.9	46
19	AD Ceuta FC	40	35.3	44.9	-9.6	55
20	Mirandes	40	28.2	38.8	-10.6	37
21	Cadiz	40	26.9	39.4	-12.5	40
22	Cultural Leonesa	40	29.1	42.3	-13.2	36