Hinna vs Åkra Statistics & Analysis

Sep 19, 2026 - 12:00
2 1.32
2 1.28
xG Accuracy: 68%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Hinna Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8663097

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Hinna 2–2 Åkra
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 3ª Divisione - Girone 4 Norvegia
  • Fixture: Hinna vs Åkra
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Hinna 1.32 — Åkra 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 24, 2026 (UTC)

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3ª Divisione - Girone 4 Norvegia 3ª Divisione - Girone 4 NorvegiaClassifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Madla 19 12 5 2 41
2 Mandalskameratene 20 11 4 5 37
3 Vindbjart 20 11 2 7 35
4 Varhaug 20 9 6 5 33
5 Flekkerøy 20 10 3 7 33
6 Viking II 19 9 4 6 31
7 Brodd 20 8 3 9 27
8 Stabæk II 19 8 2 9 26
9 Våg 20 7 2 11 23
10 Staal Jørpeland 19 6 4 9 22
11 Odd II 19 6 4 9 22
12 Haugesund II 19 6 3 10 21
13 Hinna 20 5 5 10 20
14 Åkra 20 4 3 13 15
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Madla 19 50 25 +25 41
2 Viking II 19 48 26 +22 31
3 Vindbjart 20 47 24 +23 35
4 Mandalskameratene 20 46 33 +13 37
5 Flekkerøy 20 41 34 +7 33
6 Stabæk II 19 41 45 -4 26
7 Brodd 20 39 40 -1 27
8 Staal Jørpeland 19 37 46 -9 22
9 Varhaug 20 36 28 +8 33
10 Haugesund II 19 36 54 -18 21
11 Hinna 20 36 57 -21 20
12 Odd II 19 35 44 -9 22
13 Våg 20 29 36 -7 23
14 Åkra 20 27 56 -29 15