Herd vs Volda Statistics & Analysis

Jul 31, 2026 - 17:00
0 1.25
1 1.35
xG Accuracy: 64%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Volda Volda ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 03:12 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1673415

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Volda win · Herd 0–1 Volda
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 3ª Divisione - Girone 2 Norvegia
  • Fixture: Herd vs Volda
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-31 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
  • xG (showing): Herd 1.25 — Volda 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 24, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
3ª Divisione - Girone 2 Norvegia 3ª Divisione - Girone 2 Norvegia — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Volda 20 13 4 3 43
2 Strindheim 20 12 4 4 40
3 Melhus 19 10 5 4 35
4 Byåsen 20 9 4 7 31
5 Herd 20 8 4 8 28
6 Molde II 19 7 5 7 26
7 Rosenborg II 19 7 4 8 25
8 Spjelkavik 19 7 4 8 25
9 Ranheim II 19 6 5 8 23
10 NTNUI 20 5 7 8 22
11 Kvik Trondheim 20 6 3 11 21
12 Nardo 18 6 2 10 20
13 Orkla 19 5 4 10 19
14 Aalesund II 18 6 1 11 19
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Molde II 19 54 57 -3 26
2 Volda 20 52 22 +30 43
3 Ranheim II 19 51 62 -11 23
4 Melhus 19 48 25 +23 35
5 Strindheim 20 47 30 +17 40
6 Herd 20 45 38 +7 28
7 Byåsen 20 44 39 +5 31
8 Rosenborg II 19 38 35 +3 25
9 Spjelkavik 19 38 39 -1 25
10 Nardo 18 38 42 -4 20
11 Orkla 19 37 53 -16 19
12 Aalesund II 18 34 50 -16 19
13 Kvik Trondheim 20 31 52 -21 21
14 NTNUI 20 29 42 -13 22