Sí 53.1% · No 46.9%
Vehículo eléctrico Sí -11.3% · EV No +0.8%
Lectura de valor: BTTS No
Evaluación de predicción
Tenga cuidado
- Favorito
- Al Jahra Partido equilibrado
- Probabilidad del modelo
- 37.1%
- Probabilidad de mercado
- 27.4%
- Acuerdo de mercado
- Débil
- Validación
- Advertencia
Resumen:
Tanto la marca como el mercado se inclinan hacia el {equipo}, pero ninguno indica un favorito dominante. El empate y el {segundo} siguen siendo plausibles: este es un partido relativamente abierto.
Inicia sesión para ver el veredicto completo de apuestas
Regístrate gratis para desbloquear el veredicto final de apuestas: qué mercados pasan, dónde puede existir +EV y advertencias de steam.
Inteligencia de movimientos de mercado
- movimiento actual
- Al Jahra ↑ +12.1% 3.3 → 3.7
- Tipo de movimiento
- ⚡ Movimiento liderado por sharp
- Puntuación de vapor
- 46B
Moderate sharp signal - Amplitud del mercado
- 4/12
- Fase
- Reajuste agresivo
- Libro de referencia
- Bet365
- validación CLV
- Waiting for Close
Mayor movimiento del día
Camino de probabilidades — Al Jahra
📈 Reajuste activo durante 3h 59m
Abierto
3.70
Bajo/Alto
2.90
Actual
3.70
Narrativa de mercado
Bet365 lideró el repricing en Al Jahra (12.1%) — casa sharp movió antes del seguimiento más amplio.
Sharper sportsbooks initiated the move, but wider market participation remains limited.
Auditoría de Mercado
- Acuerdo de mercado
- Débil
- Validación
- Advertencia
- Mayor brecha
- Al Tadhamon -12.4 pp
- Amplitud
- 4/12
- Actividad actual del mercado
- Las probabilidades de {equipo} se alargaron ↑ +12.1%.
La estimación justa difiere notablemente de los precios actuales del mercado. Esto puede reflejar un desacuerdo genuino o entradas de calificación incompletas.
Evaluación de mercado
El mercado es materialmente más optimista sobre Al Tadhamon que la estimación justa actual.
Sin embargo, Al Jahra ha visto una desviación: las probabilidades aumentaron con 12.1%, lo que sugiere un debilitamiento del soporte. La confirmación sigue siendo limitada (4/12 libros), lo que sugiere un interés temprano en lugar de un movimiento amplio del mercado.
Aléjate de Al Jahra: las probabilidades aumentan con 12.1% (debilitamiento del apoyo).
- Es posible que los inversores estén incorporando información que no se refleja plenamente en el modelo de referencia.
- El contexto específico del torneo puede cambiar los precios del mercado.
| Resultado | Justo | Mercado | Borde |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Jahra | 37.09% | 27.4% | +9.7 pp |
| Empate | 30.09% | 27.4% | +2.7 pp |
| Al Tadhamon | 32.82% | 45.21% | -12.4 pp |
Probabilidad justa del modelo estadístico Poisson/xG. No probabilidades de casas de apuestas. No es un consejo de apuestas.
Veredicto final de apuestas
Los diferentes mercados valoran la eficiencia de manera diferente: 1X2 puede ser un pase, mientras que los mercados de objetivos aún muestran ventaja.
- Sin valor en 1X2 ({lado} frente a las probabilidades actuales)
- Valor posible: Menos de 2.5 (+7.2% EV con las mejores probabilidades)
- Borde delgado: BTTS No (+0.8% - debajo de la barra de tamaño predeterminada)
Baja convicción (4.5/10): prefiera apuestas más pequeñas o saltee.
Casa de apuestas premium 1xBet: los nuevos usuarios pueden usar el código promocional 1x_3342271. Registrarse
Selección principal (mayor +EV)
Menos de 2.5
— Valor
Al Jahra · Probabilidad del modelo 37.1%
Consenso de mercado (3 vías) 27.4%
EV línea de consenso: -1.4%
Más probable
1-1
Probabilidad 12.7%
El marcador exacto tiene mucha varianza — solo apuestas mínimas por diversión.
Decisión de apuesta (modelo versus mercado EV)
Valor selectivo — Al menos un mercado rastreado puede alcanzar +EV con las mejores probabilidades, pero la convicción es limitada (4.5/10): tamaño reducido.
El total de objetivos esperados (suma xG) se encuentra en una banda límite: la variación de los resultados es alta.(ΣxG ≈ 2.53)
Fuerza de la decisión: 4.5 / 10
- Línea primaria identificada (+1,0)
- Probabilidad máxima de 1X2 por debajo del 50 % (sin 1X2 dominante) (−1,0)
- Probabilidad de empate superior al 30% (−0,5)
Fuera/U 2.5:
EV terminado -15.6% ·
EV inferior +7.2%
(10 pares de libros)
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí -11.3% · EV No +0.8%
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí -11.3% · EV No +0.8%
Ciclo de vida de decisión
Etapa actual: Advertencia de validación del modelo
- Predicción generada
- Mercado comparado
- Validación aprobada
- Cierre grabado
- CLV evaluado
- Entrada
- 2.0
- Cierre
- Pendiente
- CLV
- Pendiente
Motor de decisiones OddsGPT v2.2.0
Perfeccionado de forma continua con el rendimiento del modelo, datos de mercado y resultados históricos.
Consulta las Cuotas en 1xBet
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "2997629e49a3cb5af50fbad6f74f63e20a0857a26ea2f320cdc8fb98df75b938",
"decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.22,
"away_win_prob": 0.3282,
"away_win_prob_posterior": null,
"bayes_applied": 0,
"btts_no_prob": 0.469,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.531,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.3009,
"draw_prob_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_away": 3.05,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.32,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_home": 2.7,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.31,
"home_win_prob": 0.3709,
"home_win_prob_posterior": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.464,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under_25_prob": 0.536
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Al Tadhamon",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Al Tadhamon"
},
"away_xg": 1.22,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Al Jahra",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.0895,
"edge_gap": 0.0425,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.2811,
"model_prob": 0.3706,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.8,
"draw": 30.1,
"home": 37.1
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "https://refpa14435.com/L?tag=d_4682699m_1599c_\u0026site=4682699\u0026ad=1599",
"bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
"odd": 3.32
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Betfair",
"odd": 3.3
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Bet365",
"odd": 3.3
},
{
"affi_link": "https://banners.dfbanners.com/redirect.aspx?pid=79572\u0026bid=19634\u0026redirectURL=http://www.dafabet.com/",
"bookmaker_name": "Dafabet",
"odd": 3.3
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Betano",
"odd": 3.3
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Superbet",
"odd": 3.3
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Marathonbet",
"odd": 3.25
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 3.24
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 3.32,
"bookmaker_affi": "https://refpa14435.com/L?tag=d_4682699m_1599c_\u0026site=4682699\u0026ad=1599",
"bookmaker_id": 11,
"bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
"display_market": "Al Jahra Win",
"is_value": true,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 3.56,
"market_odds": 3.21,
"model_odds": 2.7,
"overround": 10.9,
"prob_edge": 6.9,
"value_pct": 23.0,
"value_rating": "strong_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 5,
"away_failed_to_score": 6,
"away_played": 18,
"away_score_rate": 70.5,
"home_clean_sheet": 2,
"home_failed_to_score": 8,
"home_played": 18,
"home_score_rate": 73.0,
"no_prob": 46.9,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 53.1,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": false,
"yes_prob": 53.1
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.22,
"home_expected": 1.31,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.7
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 10.4
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 9.7
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.3
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-0",
"prob": 8.0
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Al Jahra or Draw",
"prob": 67.2
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Al Jahra or Al Tadhamon",
"prob": 69.9
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Al Tadhamon",
"prob": 62.9
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Al Jahra or Al Tadhamon",
"pick_prob": 69.9
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 32.8,
"draw_pct": 30.1,
"home_pct": 37.1,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Al Jahra"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.53,
"away_avg_scored": 0.9,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 0.6,
"over_prob": 46.4,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 53.6,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.53,
"under_prob": 53.6
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 11,
"bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
"edge": 23.2,
"implied_prob": 30.1,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Home",
"market": "Al Jahra Win",
"model_prob": 37.1,
"odds": 3.32
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"has_data": false
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.7
}
},
"home_xg": 1.31,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0952,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -9.5,
"text": "-9.5%"
},
"ev_under": 0.0559,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 5.6,
"text": "+5.6%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.0559,
"over_prob": 46.4,
"sort_key": 10200.31,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 53.6,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "lean",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.0151,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -1.5,
"text": "-1.5%"
},
"ev_yes": -0.0814,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -8.1,
"text": "-8.1%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": -0.0151,
"no_prob": 46.9,
"sort_key": 1796.225,
"tier": "bad_ev",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 53.1
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.0181,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -1.8,
"text": "-1.8%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.2783,
"max_ev": -0.0181,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -1.8,
"text": "-1.8%"
},
"model_prob": 0.3706,
"side_label": "Al Jahra",
"sort_key": 1795.475,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 818.1,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.7
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "",
"alert_breadth_note": "",
"alert_move": "",
"alert_team": "",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 11.9,
"has_alert": false,
"hero_edge_pp": -11.95,
"hero_label": "Al Tadhamon",
"market_prob_pct": 27.8,
"market_team": "Al Tadhamon",
"model_prob_pct": 37.1,
"model_team": "Al Jahra",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "!",
"status_key": "caution",
"status_label": "Use caution",
"status_line": "Use caution \u2014 signals are mixed",
"steam_score": null,
"steam_subtitle": "",
"steam_tier": "",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 9.26,
"fair_prob": 37.09,
"label": "Al Jahra",
"market_prob": 27.83,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 2.69,
"fair_prob": 30.09,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 27.4,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -11.95,
"fair_prob": 32.82,
"label": "Al Tadhamon",
"market_prob": 44.77,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": -4.4,
"fair_prob": 46.4,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 50.8,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": 4.4,
"fair_prob": 53.6,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 49.2,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": -1.98,
"fair_prob": 53.1,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 55.08,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": 1.98,
"fair_prob": 46.9,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 44.92,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "strong_disagreement",
"edge_pp": -11.95,
"fair_prob_pct": 32.82,
"hero_side": "away",
"hero_team_name": "Al Tadhamon",
"market_prob_pct": 44.77,
"status": "market_ahead",
"steam_team_name": "Al Jahra"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "strong",
"edge_status": "market_ahead",
"max_gap_pp": 11.95,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Strong model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "strong",
"divergence_level_label": "Strong divergence",
"divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs noticeably from current market pricing. This may reflect genuine disagreement or incomplete rating inputs.",
"divergence_tier": "strong",
"edge_label": "Strong disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "strong_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Al Jahra",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_prob_pct": 27.8,
"model_prob_pct": 37.1,
"outcome_separation_tier": "low",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Use caution",
"reliability_icon": "!",
"reliability_tier": "caution",
"summary": "The model and market both lean Al Jahra, but neither indicates a dominant favourite. Draw and Al Tadhamon remain plausible \u2014 this is a relatively open match.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Warning"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -11.95,
"hero_label": "Al Tadhamon",
"hero_side": "away",
"market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
"market_agreement": "weak",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Investors may be incorporating information not fully reflected in the baseline model.",
"Tournament-specific context can shift market pricing."
],
"follow_up": "However, Al Jahra has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
"gap_tier": "strong",
"lead": "The market is materially more optimistic about Al Tadhamon than the current fair estimate.",
"note": "Market activity is currently concentrated on Al Jahra.",
"paragraphs": [
"The market is materially more optimistic about Al Tadhamon than the current fair estimate.",
"However, Al Jahra has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Market activity is currently concentrated on Al Jahra."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The market favors Al Tadhamon more strongly than the current fair estimate.",
"At the same time, Al Jahra has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Broad sportsbook alignment (12/12) supports the current market view on Al Jahra."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"max_gap_pp": 11.95,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
"status": "warning"
},
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 4.3 pp (at 37.1%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 4.3,
"max_prob_pct": 37.1,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Low",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 9.26,
"fair_prob_pct": 37.09,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Al Jahra",
"market_prob_pct": 27.83,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 2.69,
"fair_prob_pct": 30.09,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 27.4,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -11.95,
"fair_prob_pct": 32.82,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Al Tadhamon",
"market_prob_pct": 44.77,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "market_ahead",
"status_label": "Market Ahead",
"steam_note": "Market activity is currently concentrated on Al Jahra.",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Al Tadhamon (27.8%).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Al Jahra, Market \u2192 Al Tadhamon, Recent sharp money \u2192 recent line movement.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": null,
"closing_odds": null,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": null,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "model_validation_warning",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Model validation warning",
"entry_implied_pct": 49.5,
"entry_odds": 2.02,
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"model_validation_status": "warning",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "pending"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"show": false
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "12/12",
"current_odds": 3.3,
"move_display": "+0.0%",
"open_odds": 3.3,
"pick_team": "Al Jahra",
"steam_score": 30,
"steam_team_name": "Al Jahra",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 11.9,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 3539,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/3539.webp",
"away_team_name": "Al Tadhamon",
"country_code": "KW",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/kw.svg",
"country_name": "Kuwait",
"fixture_id": 1553784,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Kuwait",
"home_team_id": 3534,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/3534.webp",
"home_team_name": "Al Jahra",
"league_country": "Kuwait",
"league_id": 330,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/330.webp",
"league_name": "Premier League",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-06-17 17:45:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": null,
"venue_name": null
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
"pred_conf_md_xg_borderline",
"pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
"Total xG in borderline band (high variance) (\u22121.5)",
"Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
],
"score": 4.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.3692,
"best_odd": 2.02,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0442,
"ev": -0.1849,
"implied_prob": 0.4477,
"model_prob": 0.3281,
"p_final": 0.4035
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2877,
"best_odd": 3.3,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0079,
"ev": -0.0697,
"implied_prob": 0.274,
"model_prob": 0.3014,
"p_final": 0.2819
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.2585,
"best_odd": 3.25,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0239,
"ev": -0.0181,
"implied_prob": 0.2783,
"model_prob": 0.3706,
"p_final": 0.3021
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.1,
"best_yes_odd": 1.73,
"edge_no": 0.0198,
"edge_yes": -0.0198,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.0151,
"ev_yes": -0.0814,
"implied_no": 0.4492,
"implied_yes": 0.5508,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.95,
"best_under_odd": 1.97,
"edge_over": -0.044,
"edge_under": 0.044,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0952,
"ev_under": 0.0559,
"implied_over": 0.508,
"implied_under": 0.492,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.53,
"variance_flag": true
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0559,
"confidence": 4.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
],
"score": 4.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.531,
"draw_prob": 0.3014,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3706,
"over_prob": 0.464,
"total_xg": 2.53,
"under_prob": 0.536,
"xg_diff": 0.09
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0239,
"ev": -0.0181,
"implied_prob": 0.2783,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.3706,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Al Jahra"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.0198,
"ev": -0.0151,
"implied_prob": 0.4492,
"model_prob": 0.469,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.044,
"ev": 0.0559,
"implied_prob": 0.492,
"model_prob": 0.536,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1553784,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0559,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3281,
"draw": 0.3014,
"home": 0.3706
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"variance_medium"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Al Tadhamon",
"home": "Al Jahra"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.018457,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0559,
"implied_prob": 0.492,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.536,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1553784,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-17T06:34:53.995684+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
Explora Más Contenido de Predicciones
Obtén predicciones premium para Al Jahra & Al Tadhamon!
Desbloquea análisis en profundidad, consejos de apuestas exclusivos y pronósticos de partidos con nuestro servicio de suscripción premium.
Suscríbete ahora
Premier League — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Kuwait | 14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 36 |
| 2 | Kazma | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 24 |
| 3 | Al Arabi | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24 |
| 4 | Al Salmiyah | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 23 |
| 5 | Al Qadsia | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 |
| 6 | Al Fahaheel | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Shabab | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15 |
| 8 | Al Nasar | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Tadhamon | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Jahra | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Kuwait | 14 | 39 | 9 | +30 | 36 |
| 2 | Al Qadsia | 14 | 26 | 13 | +13 | 22 |
| 3 | Al Arabi | 14 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 24 |
| 4 | Al Fahaheel | 14 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 18 |
| 5 | Kazma | 14 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 24 |
| 6 | Al Salmiyah | 14 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 23 |
| 7 | Al Nasar | 14 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Tadhamon | 14 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 11 |
| 9 | Al Shabab | 14 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 15 |
| 10 | Al Jahra | 14 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 7 |
UEFA Champions League
Premier League
La Liga
Serie A
Ligue 1
Eredivisie
Bundesliga
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa Conference League
Primeira Liga
Superliga
Eliteserien
Allsvenskan
World Cup
