Pronóstico confiable
Resumen:
Ambos se inclinan por Difaa EL Jadida, pero el mercado les pone un precio más alto (42.4% vs modelo 33.8%). La ventaja sigue siendo modesta y el partido permanece relativamente abierto.
Inicia sesión para ver el veredicto completo de apuestas
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La estimación justa y el precio de mercado difieren modestamente. Monitorear antes del inicio.
El mercado y el modelo coinciden en términos generales en {equipo}. La divergencia restante puede reflejar diferencias en los supuestos de fortaleza del equipo más que un desacuerdo direccional.
| Resultado | Justo | Mercado | Borde |
|---|---|---|---|
| Difaa EL Jadida | 33.82% | 42.39% | -8.6 pp |
| Empate | 32.87% | 32.76% | +0.1 pp |
| Olympique Dcheïra | 33.31% | 24.85% | +8.5 pp |
Probabilidad justa del modelo estadístico Poisson/xG. No probabilidades de casas de apuestas. No es un consejo de apuestas.
No hay apuestas predeterminadas en umbrales estándar; use inclinaciones solo para contexto.
Difaa EL Jadida market context before kickoff
⚠️ Mercado volátil on Difaa EL Jadida
Steam detected. Model value still remains — 1X2 looks repriced; compare Over/Under and BTTS EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Etapa actual: Monitoreo del mercado
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
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"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
],
"score": 3.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "C",
"stake_factor": 0.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.456,
"draw_prob": 0.3289,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3378,
"over_prob": 0.369,
"total_xg": 2.17,
"under_prob": 0.631,
"xg_diff": 0.01
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev": 0.026,
"hero_display_only": true,
"implied_prob": 0.4403,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.456,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "hero_display",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "hero_display"
},
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0329,
"ev": -0.1704,
"implied_prob": 0.4215,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.3378,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Difaa EL Jadida"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0157,
"ev": 0.026,
"implied_prob": 0.4403,
"model_prob": 0.456,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.0068,
"ev": -0.0111,
"implied_prob": 0.3622,
"model_prob": 0.369,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1550843,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": false,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
"insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
"max_valid_ev": 0.026,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": true
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3333,
"draw": 0.3289,
"home": 0.3378
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Olympique Dche\u00efra",
"home": "Difaa EL Jadida"
},
"top_pick": null,
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1550843,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T06:57:49.631942+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Botola Pro — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maghreb Fès | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20 |
| 2 | Wydad AC | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 20 |
| 3 | Raja Casablanca | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19 |
| 4 | FAR Rabat | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18 |
| 5 | CODM Meknès | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Hassania Agadir | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Difaa EL Jadida | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Olympique Dcheïra | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 9 | Ittihad Tanger | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | Renaissance Berkane | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Kawkab Marrakech | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 12 | FUS Rabat | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| 13 | CR Khemis Zemamra | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 14 | UTS Rabat | 11 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 15 | Yacoub El Mansour | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 16 | Olympique Safi | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maghreb Fès | 10 | 15 | 4 | +11 | 20 |
| 2 | FAR Rabat | 8 | 14 | 1 | +13 | 18 |
| 3 | Wydad AC | 8 | 14 | 5 | +9 | 20 |
| 4 | Renaissance Berkane | 6 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 5 | Raja Casablanca | 9 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 19 |
| 6 | Hassania Agadir | 10 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
| 7 | FUS Rabat | 10 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
| 8 | CODM Meknès | 10 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 16 |
| 9 | Olympique Dcheïra | 10 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 12 |
| 10 | Ittihad Tanger | 10 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Yacoub El Mansour | 10 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 6 |
| 12 | UTS Rabat | 11 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 | Kawkab Marrakech | 9 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 | Difaa EL Jadida | 10 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | CR Khemis Zemamra | 9 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 | Olympique Safi | 8 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 |
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