CODM Meknès vs CR Khemis Zemamra Predicción, Cuotas y Consejos de Apuestas con IA

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      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "CR Khemis Zemamra"
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          "bookmaker_name": "Betano",
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        {
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          "bookmaker_name": "Marathonbet",
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        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "William Hill",
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        {
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          "bookmaker_name": "BetVictor",
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      "double_chance": {
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          {
            "key": "12",
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          {
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        "status_label": "Reliable forecast",
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          "label": "CODM Mekn\u00e8s",
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          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "home"
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          "fair_prob": 32.74,
          "label": "Draw",
          "market_prob": 32.53,
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          "outcome": "draw"
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        {
          "edge_pp": 1.63,
          "fair_prob": 29.84,
          "label": "CR Khemis Zemamra",
          "market_prob": 28.21,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "away"
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          "edge_pp": 2.07,
          "fair_prob": 36.9,
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          "market_prob": 34.83,
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          "outcome": "over"
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          "outcome": "under"
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        {
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          "market_prob": 42.39,
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          "outcome": "yes"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -3.01,
          "fair_prob": 54.6,
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          "market_prob": 57.61,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "no"
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        "fair_prob_pct": 37.42,
        "hero_side": "home",
        "hero_team_name": "CODM Mekn\u00e8s",
        "market_prob_pct": 39.25,
        "status": "aligned",
        "steam_team_name": "CODM Mekn\u00e8s"
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      "fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
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        "degraded_note": "",
        "divergence_guard": {
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          "edge_status": "aligned",
          "max_gap_pp": 1.83,
          "suppress_hero": false,
          "suppress_value_language": false
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        "divergence_label": "",
        "divergence_level": "aligned",
        "divergence_level_label": "Aligned",
        "divergence_note": "",
        "divergence_tier": "aligned",
        "edge_label": "Aligned",
        "edge_label_key": "aligned",
        "fair_confidence": "medium",
        "fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
        "fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
        "forecast_assessment": {
          "favourite_class": "Balanced match",
          "favourite_label": "CODM Mekn\u00e8s",
          "forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
          "headline": "Balanced match",
          "market_agreement_label": "Strong",
          "market_prob_pct": 39.2,
          "model_prob_pct": 37.4,
          "outcome_separation_tier": "low",
          "paragraphs": [],
          "reliability_headline": "Reliable forecast",
          "reliability_icon": "\u2713",
          "reliability_tier": "reliable",
          "summary": "The model and market both lean CODM Mekn\u00e8s, but neither indicates a dominant favourite. Draw and Draw remain plausible \u2014 this is a relatively open match.",
          "tier": "balanced",
          "title": "Forecast Assessment",
          "validation_label": "Pass"
        },
        "forecast_certainty": {
          "note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
          "tier": "low",
          "tier_label": "Low"
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        "forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
        "has_market_probs": true,
        "hero_edge_pp": -1.83,
        "hero_label": "CODM Mekn\u00e8s",
        "hero_side": "home",
        "market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
        "market_agreement": "strong",
        "market_agreement_label": "Strong",
        "market_interpretation": {
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          "gap_tier": "aligned",
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            "The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.",
            "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on CODM Mekn\u00e8s."
          ],
          "quiet_market": false,
          "title": "Market Assessment"
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        "market_narrative": {
          "paragraphs": [
            "Market pricing and the fair estimate remain broadly aligned.",
            "Recent line movement on CODM Mekn\u00e8s (+0.0%) aligns with the pricing gap.",
            "Broad sportsbook alignment (13/13) supports the current market view on CODM Mekn\u00e8s."
          ],
          "title": "Current Market Narrative"
        },
        "max_gap_pp": 1.83,
        "model_validation": {
          "score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
          "status": "pass"
        },
        "model_validation_label": "Pass",
        "outcome_separation": {
          "breakdown": [
            "No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
            "Favourite exceeds second outcome by 4.7 pp (at 37.4%)."
          ],
          "lead_gap_pp": 4.7,
          "max_prob_pct": 37.4,
          "note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
          "tier": "low",
          "tier_label": "Low"
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        "outcome_separation_label": "Low",
        "rows": [
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            "fair_prob_pct": 37.42,
            "is_hero": true,
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            "market_prob_pct": 39.25,
            "side": "home"
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          {
            "edge_pp": 0.21,
            "fair_prob_pct": 32.74,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Draw",
            "market_prob_pct": 32.53,
            "side": "draw"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": 1.63,
            "fair_prob_pct": 29.84,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "CR Khemis Zemamra",
            "market_prob_pct": 28.21,
            "side": "away"
          }
        ],
        "status": "aligned",
        "status_label": "Aligned",
        "steam_note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on CODM Mekn\u00e8s.",
        "unavailable_note": ""
      },
      "interpretation": {
        "has_conflict": false,
        "paragraphs": [
          "The betting market strongly prefers CODM Mekn\u00e8s (39.2%).",
          "The model and market both lean CODM Mekn\u00e8s, but neither indicates a dominant favourite. Draw and Draw remain plausible \u2014 this is a relatively open match."
        ],
        "show": true,
        "title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
      },
      "lifecycle": {
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        "closing_odds": null,
        "clv_pending": true,
        "clv_pp": null,
        "clv_status": "pending",
        "context": "match",
        "current_stage": "market_monitoring",
        "current_stage_detail": "",
        "current_stage_label": "Market monitoring",
        "entry_implied_pct": 43.48,
        "entry_odds": 2.3,
        "model_validation_label": "Pass",
        "model_validation_status": "pass",
        "stages": [
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            "id": "forecast_generated",
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            "status": "done"
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          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "market_detected",
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          {
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            "id": "model_validated",
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            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "closing_recorded",
            "label": "Closing Recorded",
            "status": "pending"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "clv_evaluated",
            "label": "CLV Evaluated",
            "status": "pending"
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      "market_move_intelligence": {
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      "market_overview": {
        "breadth_display": "13/13",
        "current_odds": 2.25,
        "move_display": "+0.0%",
        "open_odds": 2.25,
        "pick_team": "CODM Mekn\u00e8s",
        "steam_score": 30,
        "steam_team_name": "CODM Mekn\u00e8s",
        "steam_tier": "C"
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      "premium_teaser": {
        "current_divergence_pp": 1.8,
        "divergence_label": "Current divergence",
        "title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
        "unlock_items": [
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          "CLV tracking",
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      "show": true
    },
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 3449,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/3449.webp",
      "away_team_name": "CR Khemis Zemamra",
      "country_code": "MA",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/ma.svg",
      "country_name": "Morocco",
      "fixture_id": 1550842,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": "Morocco",
      "home_team_id": 22218,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/22218.webp",
      "home_team_name": "CODM Mekn\u00e8s",
      "league_country": "Morocco",
      "league_id": 200,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/200.webp",
      "league_name": "Botola Pro",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-06-12 17:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS",
      "venue_city": "Meknes",
      "venue_name": null
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
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          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.2928,
            "best_odd": 3.2,
            "calibration": {
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "edge": 0.0047,
            "ev": -0.0821,
            "implied_prob": 0.2821,
            "model_prob": 0.2982,
            "p_final": 0.2868
          },
          "draw": {
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            "best_odd": 2.775,
            "calibration": {
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.001,
            "ev": -0.0944,
            "implied_prob": 0.3253,
            "model_prob": 0.3276,
            "p_final": 0.3263
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.4376,
            "best_odd": 2.3,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.008,
            "ev": -0.1156,
            "implied_prob": 0.3925,
            "model_prob": 0.3742,
            "p_final": 0.3845
          }
        },
        "btts": {
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          "best_yes_odd": 2.25,
          "edge_no": -0.0301,
          "edge_yes": 0.0301,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.1155,
          "ev_yes": 0.0215,
          "implied_no": 0.5761,
          "implied_yes": 0.4239,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 2.8,
          "best_under_odd": 1.44,
          "edge_over": 0.0207,
          "edge_under": -0.0207,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": 0.0332,
          "ev_under": -0.0914,
          "implied_over": 0.3483,
          "implied_under": 0.6517,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.17,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.0332,
      "confidence": 4.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 4.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "C",
        "stake_factor": 0.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.454,
          "draw_prob": 0.3276,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.3742,
          "over_prob": 0.369,
          "total_xg": 2.17,
          "under_prob": 0.631,
          "xg_diff": 0.15
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0332,
        "hero_display_only": true,
        "implied_prob": 0.3483,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.369,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "risk_band": "speculative",
        "risk_tier": "hero_display",
        "side": "over",
        "slot": "hero_display"
      },
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.008,
          "ev": -0.1156,
          "implied_prob": 0.3925,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.3742,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "CODM Mekn\u00e8s"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0301,
          "ev": 0.0215,
          "implied_prob": 0.4239,
          "model_prob": 0.454,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0207,
          "ev": 0.0332,
          "implied_prob": 0.3483,
          "model_prob": 0.369,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1550842,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": false,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
        "insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0332,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": true
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.2982,
        "draw": 0.3276,
        "home": 0.3742
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "CR Khemis Zemamra",
        "home": "CODM Mekn\u00e8s"
      },
      "top_pick": null,
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1550842,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T06:57:33.326404+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}