Sí 60.2% · No 39.8%
Vehículo eléctrico Sí +1.1% · EV No -15.6%
Lectura de valor: BTTS Sí
Evaluación de pronóstico
Pronóstico confiable
- Favorito
- FA 2000 Ligeramente favorito
- Probabilidad del modelo
- 46.8%
- Probabilidad de mercado
- 45.2%
- Acuerdo de mercado
- Fuerte
- Validación
- Aprobar
Resumen:
Tanto el modelo como el mercado identifican a FA 2000 como el probable ganador. La divergencia actual se mantiene dentro de límites normales.
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Auditoría de Mercado
- Acuerdo de mercado
- Fuerte
- Validación
- Aprobar
- Mayor brecha
- Brønshøj -2.0 pp
- Amplitud
- 7/7
- Actividad actual del mercado
- Aún no hay ningún movimiento direccional significativo.
Evaluación de mercado
El mercado y el modelo están ampliamente alineados. Cualquier pequeña brecha de precios probablemente refleja un redondeo o un margen de las casas de apuestas, no un desacuerdo estructural.
Sin embargo, FA 2000 ha visto una desviación: las probabilidades aumentaron con 0.0%, lo que sugiere un debilitamiento del soporte.
La actividad del mercado se concentra actualmente en FA 2000.
- Los precios actuales se mantienen cerca de la base del modelo.
| Resultado | Justo | Mercado | Borde |
|---|---|---|---|
| FA 2000 | 46.78% | 45.25% | +1.5 pp |
| Empate | 26.56% | 26.09% | +0.5 pp |
| Brønshøj | 26.66% | 28.66% | -2.0 pp |
Probabilidad justa del modelo estadístico Poisson/xG. No probabilidades de casas de apuestas. No es un consejo de apuestas.
Veredicto final de apuestas
No hay apuestas predeterminadas en umbrales estándar; use inclinaciones solo para contexto.
- Sin valor en 1X2 ({lado} frente a las probabilidades actuales)
- Borde delgado: Más de 2.5 (+2.4% - debajo de la barra de tamaño predeterminada)
- Borde delgado: BTTS Sí (+1.1% - debajo de la barra de tamaño predeterminada)
- Significant line move — see market context below.
Baja convicción (4/10): prefiera apuestas más pequeñas o saltee.
Casa de apuestas premium 1xBet: los nuevos usuarios pueden usar el código promocional 1x_3342271. Registrarse
Mejor +EV (mercados seguidos)
Más de 2.5
— Valor
FA 2000 · Probabilidad del modelo 46.7%
Consenso de mercado (3 vías) 45.2%
EV línea de consenso: -8.0%
Más probable
1-1
Probabilidad 11.0%
El marcador exacto tiene mucha varianza — solo apuestas mínimas por diversión.
Decisión de apuesta (modelo versus mercado EV)
Ejecución: sin Primaria / alternativa a tamaño estándar — otros mercados pueden mostrar +EV en las tarjetas de abajo.
Mercado: puede haber una pequeña ineficiencia modelo–precio en líneas marginales o de alta varianza — no es apuesta por defecto; reduzca la apuesta si prueba.
(Técnico: al menos una línea seguida supera el umbral +EV a ≥2.0% en las mejores cuotas — no implica apuesta por defecto.)
Fuerza de la decisión: 4.0 / 10
- Probabilidad máxima de 1X2 por debajo del 50 % (sin 1X2 dominante) (−1,0)
Fuera/U 2.5:
EV terminado +2.4% ·
EV inferior -12.3%
(5 pares de libros)
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí +1.1% · EV No -15.6%
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí +1.1% · EV No -15.6%
FA 2000 market context before kickoff
⚠️ Mercado volátil on FA 2000
- Odds move
- 2.00 → 2.00 (+0.0%)
- Market breadth
- 7/7
- Steam score
- 30 (C)
- Current status
- 1X2 repriced at consensus; goals markets may still show +EV.
Steam detected. Model value still remains — 1X2 looks repriced; compare Over/Under and BTTS EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Ciclo de vida de decisión
Etapa actual: Monitoreo del mercado
- Pronóstico generado
- Mercado comparado
- Validación aprobada
- Cierre grabado
- CLV evaluado
- Entrada
- 3.15
- Cierre
- Pendiente
- CLV
- Pendiente
Motor de decisiones OddsGPT v2.2.0
Perfeccionado de forma continua con el rendimiento del modelo, datos de mercado y resultados históricos.
Consulta las Cuotas en 1xBet
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
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"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Frederiksberg",
"venue_name": "Frederiksberg Idraetspark"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
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],
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},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.291,
"best_odd": 3.15,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0058,
"ev": -0.1155,
"implied_prob": 0.2866,
"model_prob": 0.2667,
"p_final": 0.2808
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2977,
"best_odd": 3.46,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0015,
"ev": -0.092,
"implied_prob": 0.2609,
"model_prob": 0.266,
"p_final": 0.2624
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.5867,
"best_odd": 1.995,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0087,
"ev": -0.0799,
"implied_prob": 0.4525,
"model_prob": 0.4673,
"p_final": 0.4612
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.12,
"best_yes_odd": 1.68,
"edge_no": -0.0457,
"edge_yes": 0.0457,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.1562,
"ev_yes": 0.0114,
"implied_no": 0.4437,
"implied_yes": 0.5563,
"n_bookmakers": 4,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.79,
"best_under_odd": 2.05,
"edge_over": 0.047,
"edge_under": -0.047,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0239,
"ev_under": -0.1226,
"implied_over": 0.525,
"implied_under": 0.475,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.98,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0239,
"confidence": 4.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
],
"score": 4.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "C",
"stake_factor": 0.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5927\u5f00\u5927\u5408\uff08\u8fdb\u7403\u578b\uff09",
"scoring_type": "high_scoring",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.602,
"draw_prob": 0.266,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4673,
"over_prob": 0.572,
"total_xg": 2.98,
"under_prob": 0.428,
"xg_diff": 0.46
},
"type": "high_scoring",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev": 0.0239,
"hero_display_only": true,
"implied_prob": 0.525,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.572,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "hero_display",
"side": "over",
"slot": "hero_display"
},
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0087,
"ev": -0.0799,
"implied_prob": 0.4525,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4673,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "FA 2000"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0457,
"ev": 0.0114,
"implied_prob": 0.5563,
"model_prob": 0.602,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.047,
"ev": 0.0239,
"implied_prob": 0.525,
"model_prob": 0.572,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1540537,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": false,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
"insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
"max_valid_ev": 0.0239,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": true
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.2667,
"draw": 0.266,
"home": 0.4673
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Br\u00f8nsh\u00f8j",
"home": "FA 2000"
},
"top_pick": null,
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1540537,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T08:18:37.210719+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
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3. Division — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nykobing FC | 22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 55 |
| 2 | FA 2000 | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 42 |
| 3 | Næsby | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 36 |
| 4 | Brønshøj | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 32 |
| 5 | Vanløse | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31 |
| 6 | Hørsholm-Usserød | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 29 |
| 7 | Frem | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28 |
| 8 | Holbæk B&I | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 26 |
| 9 | Vejgaard B | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 26 |
| 10 | Sundby | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 24 |
| 11 | Odder | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 21 |
| 12 | Lyseng | 22 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 17 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nykobing FC | 22 | 53 | 17 | +36 | 55 |
| 2 | Holbæk B&I | 22 | 43 | 33 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 | Næsby | 22 | 42 | 39 | +3 | 36 |
| 4 | Hørsholm-Usserød | 22 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 29 |
| 5 | Brønshøj | 22 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 32 |
| 6 | FA 2000 | 22 | 33 | 23 | +10 | 42 |
| 7 | Sundby | 22 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 24 |
| 8 | Vanløse | 22 | 30 | 27 | +3 | 31 |
| 9 | Vejgaard B | 22 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 26 |
| 10 | Odder | 22 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 21 |
| 11 | Frem | 22 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 28 |
| 12 | Lyseng | 22 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 17 |
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