Pronóstico confiable
Resumen:
Tanto la marca como el mercado se inclinan hacia el {equipo}, pero ninguno indica un favorito dominante. El empate y el {segundo} siguen siendo plausibles: este es un partido relativamente abierto.
Inicia sesión para ver el veredicto completo de apuestas
Regístrate gratis para desbloquear el veredicto final de apuestas: qué mercados pasan, dónde puede existir +EV y advertencias de steam.
El mercado y el modelo están ampliamente alineados. Cualquier pequeña brecha de precios probablemente refleja un redondeo o un margen de las casas de apuestas, no un desacuerdo estructural.
| Resultado | Justo | Mercado | Borde |
|---|---|---|---|
| SKA Khabarovsk II | 27.93% | 30.81% | -2.9 pp |
| Empate | 29.2% | 29.79% | -0.6 pp |
| Salyut-Belgorod | 42.86% | 39.4% | +3.5 pp |
Probabilidad justa del modelo estadístico Poisson/xG. No probabilidades de casas de apuestas. No es un consejo de apuestas.
Los diferentes mercados valoran la eficiencia de manera diferente: 1X2 puede ser un pase, mientras que los mercados de objetivos aún muestran ventaja.
Etapa actual: Monitoreo del mercado
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
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"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0148,
"ev": -0.0617,
"implied_prob": 0.394,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.4288,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Salyut-Belgorod"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.097,
"ev": 0.1781,
"implied_prob": 0.365,
"model_prob": 0.462,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1061,
"ev": 0.1655,
"implied_prob": 0.4119,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1536605,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1781,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.4288,
"draw": 0.2921,
"home": 0.2791
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1655,
"implied_prob": 0.4119,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1655,
"implied_prob": 0.4119,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Salyut-Belgorod",
"home": "SKA Khabarovsk II"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.082282,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1781,
"implied_prob": 0.365,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.462,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1536605,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T13:02:26.271201+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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